Thursday, October 4, 2012

B1G Season Kick-Off Friday!

Before we get to this week’s picks, a little more jabbing and picking at the wound that the Domers inflicted on Michigan and themselves: I’m SURE that NBC just LOVES the fact that $warbuck$ dumped the Michigan game. For a team that has been averaging a 2.1 to 2.4 rating for its games televised on NBC for the last several years (which represents about 3 to 3.5 million viewers), the Michigan - Domers game captured a 4.1 rating, which represents about 7 million viewers. It was by far the most viewed game of the day and is second to only Michigan-Alabama this year as the most watched game. Not only that, but click the LINK for the details that show that this was THE MOST WATCHED PRIME TIME Notre Dame game EVER on NBC, even beating the past USC-Domer match-ups.


Yeah…I’m sure there’s several NBC executives just drooling over a Domer-Duke or Domer-Syracuse September matchup in the coming years instead of Michigan. Yeah…I’m sure of that. (A Nielsen rating point is said to be worth $100,000 - $150,000 more for a 30 second prime time advertising spot. So, figure however many commercials are in a college football game in minutes and multiply that by $600 G’s….) In fact, if I was a betting man, I’ll bet that someone called $warbuck$ and said, “HEY, GREAT MOVE (Dumb Ass)! You really know what you’re doing there! (Dumb Ass, dumb ass, dumb ass….)” The MMQ added that parenthesis for unspoken emphasis. The FMQ is much more objective and less offensive in the satirical nature and wording of his posts than the MMQ. The MMQ calls it like he sees it….

$warbucks$ = Idiot…..I only hope Brandon finds a more suitable and worthy opponent to replace these clowns with….

One more little thing: If I’m an Okie State fan, I’m really pissed after I see this video. It’s the best video I’ve seen. Why doesn’t the replay booth see this? Why?




Anyway, I’m in a quandary this week, which is perhaps the reason I’m stalling so much. I’m a little leery of every early pick I made at this point, with the exception of taking Miami and the points. The lined opened at 14 and has moved considerably. 1.5 points represents significant steam coming in on the Miami side. So, I too will stay with the wise guys and get the best price I can for that game. For the other two games, I’m going to go heart and head.


This Week’s Picks:

Miami (+13) vs. Domers: Make all your convicts vs. catholics jokes now. Good vs. Evil…Except this fan thinks it’s the other way around when it comes to the good vs. evil thing with these two teams….I would have had an additional point here I had jumped early, but I like the points I’m getting anyway. In fact, I’m going with this as the upset of the week. I wish there was a money line (odds wager) in college as I would take it. For anyone not familiar with the term, the NFL has a money line. If you like the “dog” you can take that team and get 5-1 odds for example, and for $100 you would win $500. IF you are wondering why this is the upset special, see the Michigan pick below to understand how lucky the Domers were to win the Michigan game. They should be 3-1 looking to re-group this week.
Take Miami and the 13 points for $75
Arkansas (+10) @ Auburn: This line hasn’t moved much, but it’s moving in Arkansas’ favor (some sports books have it a +9.5) meaning that this is still the SEC and it’s still a decent Arkansas team…But it’s coached by a guy that can’t find his way out of a paper bag right now and with everything else going on in his personal life, his focus can’t be all that great, either. Yes, the assistants should be kicking ass, but it still takes a leader. As much as I want to take Arkansas and the points here…The John L Smith specter of a doomed season looms large. Therefore…PASS

Sparty (-14) @ IU: Sparty bounces back hard here after getting their offense fixed. Look for Leveon to have a big day on the ground. IU was literally embarrassed last week by a very bad Iowa team. I was frankly thinking this was more of a 20 or so point spread, so I think there’s a lot of value here.
Take Sparty and lay the 14 for $60

LSU (-2.5) @ Gatorland: Is Florida GATORLAND again or is it just Florida in nicer formations? Yes, Florida is undefeated in SEC play. That’s against the Cremesicles and Kentucky. LSU has played down to their competition, but then again, when HAVEN’T they played down to their competition? I want to take LMU so bad here it hurts….But I just can’t seem to find enough reason to pull the trigger….PASS
Michigan (-3) @ Purdon’t: There were EXACTLY 23 – count ‘em, 23 – missed assignments on the offensive side of the ball against the Domers in the last game Michigan played. (Again, check Mgoblog’s entry on Thursday). That came directly from Taylor Lewan and he mentions that normally that number, missed assignments, is in the single digits. If Michigan can fix that (and they have had two weeks to work on it) my guess is Michigan walks all over Purdon’t…If they haven’t, well, this one blows up in my face.
Take Michigan and lay the 3 for $50.


PARLAY!

3 Team Parlay pays 6 to 1.
UM – SPARTY - MIAMI for $30

Starting Bank: $750
Total Bet: $215
Bank: $535

Monday, October 1, 2012

Bye's Are A Good Thing…..

Bye weeks are always fun! I get to enjoy college games without having a vested, emotional interest in the outcome of one particular game and I think it allows me to watch the weekends match-ups with a little more objectivity.


What I learned: The B1G isn’t good. The good teams are bad…The losing teams are worse. But I want to see this conference in 2 to 3 more years…

SEC: The Good teams are AWESOME and the bad teams are going to surprise some people.

Big 12: The Good teams aren’t that good and the Bad teams are looking more and more like good teams in an upside down conference.

Beast: You figure it out….

PAC 12: There are teams in the PAC 12 that play really well certain weeks and then look like warmed up dog doo-doo in other weeks. With the exception of 1 team and their 2nd half performances: Oregon. I’m convinced they are too small and undersized at several positions. But they continue to run a sprinter’s pace at you until you collapse sometime in the 2nd half. Amazing team to watch….

ACC: I’m really not sure WHO wants to win this conference besides FSU and Clemson. VaTech is looking worse each week….But I’m sure they are going to spoil it for somebody.

It’s going to be a roller coaster of a middle season with Conference play getting into full swing this coming month. A lot of deciding games will be played and leaders will pull ahead in the standings. But I wouldn’t be a bit surprised to see not so “Shocking” late third of the season upsets by the bottom tier teams…Of course, I guess you can say that every year about this great game!

The Rest of the Mess

Sparty – Suckeyes: How screwed up is the B1G that Michigan fans have to root for the team we truly hate against another team we hate? Normally, I’d like to see the Suckeyes lose to everybody…. Somehow, I guess this is supposed to make me feel better. A division loss for Sparty is better for Michigan that an OSU loss…But I hate the Suckeyes….

Cremesicles vs. Dawgs: Dooley still hasn’t won an SEC game, but this was closer than what most folks predicted. I suspect that Mr. Dooley’s Ice Cream spectacular is going to surprise somebody this year…And I have an idea as to who that someone might be….

Wiscy - Nebraska: It’s too bad that Nebraska hasn’t come in and owned the B1G…I think that would have more or less convinced everyone that the B1G isn’t that good…Now, there’s doubts when a double digit dog Wiscy team rolls into Lincoln and almost pulls off the upset. If I’m a cornsucker this AM, I’m a nervous nelly for the rest of the season…
Northwestern – IU: Talk about your reversals…the Lazy Z’s actually have a pretty good team this year and Indiana looks like something from the FCS conference. I guess now that basketball is somewhat back at IU people simply don’t care….But where were the Northwestern fans? It was a gorgeous day in Chicago…Come on fans! You have a top 25 undefeated team here!

Okie State – Shorthorns: Yes, it was a fumble. Yes, Okie State fans have a right to bitch. Yes, Texas is “sort of” back, but they won’t win the Big 12. If I’m an Okie Stater, I’m pissed this AM….

Oregon – Wazzzoooooo: Mr. Leach – Welcome to the PAC 12. Colorado somehow beats you and the Ducky Machine ran up your back side and treated you like a rag doll in the 2nd half. Will the Ducks survive the PAC and get the nod (again) for the National Title game? And can that offense work against Satan’s Warriors?

WVU – Baylor: Thanks a lot you idiots. Michigan vs. Illinois held the previous record for the most points scored in a football game when they left their defenses on the bench. Why even put a defense on the field? Amirite????

Idle Thoughts From Saturday

-"Game Day" signs are ALL hating on Michigan.
-Instead of just displaying signs for their own teams…
-What do you get when you put a field of OSU and Sparty Fans and Grads together on Saturday morning?
-Besides obnoxious boos whenever Desmond is on?
-A bunch of closed McDonald’s, Tim Hortons, and Duncan Donuts….
-See, that’s where Sparty Grads and OSU grads work
-(Sorry Michigan Fans et al, I have to explain these subtleties to the Sparties and Suckeyes reading this.)
-I know, I know....we should all just be happy they can read.
-What’s on at noon?
-Iowa is DESTROYING Minnesota. I thought Iowa was bad?
-Not when Floyd’s on the line, I guess.
-Northwestern is just beating up on Indiana…
-The FMQ is looking smart! Finally….maybe it’s ‘cause Michigan isn’t playing?
-And Michigan doesn’t play Indiana on the schedule again until when????
-I’m ready for round robin B1G play….
-Of course, that’s the year IU will be good…
-Sparty’s Offense looks…in a word…Offensive.
-Their defense seems to be shutting down Braxton.
-Will Braxton ever finish a season in the B1G un-injured….I mean healthy?
-This is a conundrum. Watched part of OSU-Sparty with Sparty slappy…
-Told me I had to root for Sparty because I hate OSU.
-Went through the division thing with him…
-Then asked him who HE rooted for when Michigan played OSU…
-I didn’t get a response.
-Screw Sparty.
-How did Wiscy-Nebraska get the night slot?
-I figured Sparty-OSU, too.
-Except that would have been Sparty’s third night game this season.
-That’s probably why…
-Wiscy rolling. The FMQ is looking smarter!
-The Ole Ball Coach got a bit of a scare from Kentucky…Just a bit…
-Oregon is not clicking in the first half….
-Nap Time…
-Oregon 2nd half – WHEEEEEEE!!!!!
-FMQ is a friggin’ genius!
-Parlay too!
-WHAT!!!!!! NOOOOOOOOO!!! Don’t let WAZZOOOO SCORE NOW!
-Jeez…I hate Chip Kelly’s defense…
-Methinks, and I’m not going out on a huge limb here, but it could be an Alabama-Ducks National Title.
-Wait a minute…There’s still WAY too much football to be played before we go making dumb predictions.

More Idle Thoughts From the Weekend….

-GO TIGERS! GO TIGERS!
-I believe the magic number is “2”. Wins for Tigers or losses for Sox….
-With 4 games left.
-Making the Sox magic number….6? Somebody else help me with the math here….
-Go USA! Ryder Cup looks like a lock….
-Wait a minute. WTF….Can’t we win one of these things?
-If I’m a kick-off return or punt return man, I can’t WAIT to play the Lions….
-Play-off clock is ticking with each loss…1-3 is a bad way to start.
-Mickelson, Furyk, Woods…Ya’ll suck…
-I guess Golf just isn’t a good team sport for the USA….
-Are the Saints out of the playoffs? 0-4 isn’t a good omen.
-It means you have to win at least 9 or 10 out of the last 12 to have a shot...Not good...

The Hot Seat

I love having to select a Hot Seat Mascot every week…But I don’t want to deny the fans from providing input in case there’s someone you want to see on the screen! Shoot me any suggestions and as always, they will be considered for weekly nomination.

Without exception, each Hot Seat Mascot Nominee this year has won her introductory week! That might be record…I would need to look it up. Which means that we have 4 nominees in the finals and a new nominee that will turn some heads in Week 5. Kristen Bell first caught my attention in the movie “Couples Retreat” and I actually caught it again on cable. She’s easy on the eyes and I think is worthy of nomination. As always, be sure to vote!





Well, not a whole lot of shake-ups to the rankings this week, but I guess I need to put Joker Phillips on the list because someone at Kentucky might actually care about winning….

1. John L Smith – He’s only on a 10 month contract, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they canned him before then…
2. Derek Dooley: Derek needed a W against Florida. He needed it really bad. I’m not sure he survives another season if the Vols don’t make a bowl.
3. Tedford: Only Hot Seat Coach to lose in Week 1!! But I can’t move him above Kelly.
4. Randy Edsall: Maryland is going to start thinking that with the ACC as screwed up as it is, why aren’t we winning more football games?
5. . Kevin Wilson: But can Indiana really expect much more? Really?
6. Brett Beilema – Wiscy. His fans have expectations now. Can’t lose to the Cornsuckers when you’re up 27-10.
7. Frank Spaziani: BC is a proud school that doesn’t get a lot of attention….
8. Mark Richt: Just because he will lose some game he’s not supposed to and the annual “Fire Mark Richt” bandwagon will get a spit polish and a coat of paint…
9. Kelly, Brian: I know…I dropped Brian down a long way…Had to. He went 3-0 vs. B1G. That’s huge in Domer land.
10. Tubberville: Yeah, he’ll have a defense, but those people at Texas Tech are used to FIREWORKS!!!!!
11. Dabo Sweeney: Either find a defense or find a new job…
12. Mack Brown: I know, I know. But you didn’t think they would fire Joe Pa, either. Believe the MMQ when I say that his retirement or canning is nearer than you think…
13. Joker Phillips: Because someone at Kentucky cares….
The FMQ

I wanted so badly for this to work. I can’t BELIEVE that WAZOO scored a late TD and screwed up what would have otherwise been a perfect week. Still, I like the way it worked out with three teams and got us positive for the first time this year.

Northwestern (-13.5) vs. Indiana:
Take Northwerstern and lay the 13.5 for $60
Easy cover by the Kitty Kats…Might keep them on my radar for the rest of the B1G season…WIN: Bank $114

Wiscy (+14) @ Nebraska:
Take Wiscy and the 14 for $40
Good call here, too. Wiscy should have won this game. WIN: Bank $76

Oregon (-28) @ Wazoo:
Take Oregon and lay the 28 for $60.
No….NO….NO!!!! Stop that idiot!....Jeez…so close. Lose….

PARLAY!
3 Team Parlay pays 6 to 1.
NWU – WISCY - DUCKS for $10 - LOSE

Starting Bank: $560
Total win: $190
Bank: $750

Early Monday Odds (no picks YET):

NWU (-3.5 ) @ PSU…I’m suddenly a huge NWU fan…Or not
Arkansas (+10) @ Auburn…Doesn’t Arkansas HAVE to win an SEC game this year?
Michigan (-3) @ Purdue….Laying points on the Road?
Sparty (-14) @ IU….Does Sparty right the ship or do they lay down?
Miami (+14) @ Domers….This could be interesting. If I had to pick a winner, I pick Miami…but what do I know?
LSU (-2) @ GATORLAND….I’ll stick with Les until he proves me wrong…

Friday, September 28, 2012

Michigan Gets a Bye...But the FMQ GOES ON!

Okay. After doing a deep dive review into my spreadsheet from the past couple of seasons and looking at some of the winning weeks vs. losing weeks, the mistake I made this year has been over betting. And I don’t mean the amounts of the wagers, but I have bet on way too many different games, thinking that spreading my risk over multiple games was a solution that was working better.

When in actuality, once the data is compiled, its exactly the opposite of what we should be doing. It took some analysis, but suffice it to say, any time we wagered on only three games (OR 75% of our betting units were focused on three games) we came out ahead for the week. To prove that theory, I’m only going to focus on three games this week and see how this goes.

This Week’s Picks:

Northwestern (-13.5) vs. Indiana: Normally, I would take points here. But the Kitty Kats have really been coming to play and Indiana is just plain awful. I’m taking the sideways Z and laying the points.
Take Northwerstern and lay the 13.5 for $60

Wiscy (+14) @ Nebraska: Okay, Wiscy sucks and there’s a lot of problems on this team. But I don’t think they lose by more than 14 to Nebraska. This is the scariest bet I’m making this week, and I’m taking points.
Take Wiscy and the 14 for $40

Oregon (-28) @ Wazoo: I made the mistake of doubting the Duckies last week. The FMQ NEVER makes the same mistake twice.

Take Oregon and lay the 28 for $60.


PARLAY!

3 Team Parlay pays 6 to 1.
NWU – WISCY - DUCKS for $10

Starting Bank: $730
Total Bet: $170
Bank: $560

Tuesday, September 25, 2012

Domers Opt Out of Michigan Game

Well, it happened sooner than I expected but that doesn't mean we'll NEVER get the chance to pound on these chicken-!@#$!@#%s  again....(JEEZ I HATE THESE GUYS!)

Domers opt out of Michigan Game.  Last game to be played in 2014.

While this sucks, I do believe a savy AD can find a few home and home opportunities with some other traditional type schools.  The MMQ will continue banging the drum for that Home and Home with Tennessee.  I can see the Michigan fleet heading down to Tennessee in my mind's eye and it looks pretty cool.

Anyway, 2014 will be at their house and I hope we can field a team that can win the last two against the Domers for the foreseeable future.

Monday, September 24, 2012

Domered...It's Been Awhile....

Get to healing with the M-Zone….But be warned: It’s not what you think this time…


Sundays and Mondays do suck after losing….Sorry, just have to get that out there. That’s probably why I couldn’t be a sports writer…Too much emotion.

I have penned before about Karma, and how it can find you at any time. Good or bad…And how Michigan, and one player who for the last two years, has stolen games from the Domers for all the evil and hypocritical things they have done in the past. Unfortunately, it would appear, that karma has a sense of irony. For all those games he stole from the Domers in the last seconds, Karma saw to it that there would be an ugly penance for a the storied senior, on HIS BIRTHDAY no less, to pay before he was finished with the Domers.

And what’s very odd is that it was there for the taking. Just play with no mistakes. You think he would have figured it out after the first couple of mental oopsies. But, it seemed to get worse. For Denard and the rest of the offense. A snowball effect of shoddy offensive decisions at the worst possible moment. Bad play calls and even worse execution seemed to be the working theme….

When the number of points you score equals the number of turnovers you have in a game, chances are, you aren’t going to win the game. But you more than likely handed it to the other guy on a silver platter. These aren’t sour grapes, but I frankly don’t even feel that bad after this loss due to the fact that it wasn’t a beat down. The Defense should be regarded as the heroes on Saturday. They held the Domer to less than 240 yards of offense. It was a total failure on Michigan’s offense (Denard’s) to execute. While I can forgive 1 or 2 turnovers and the 1 at the end of that 1st half was desperation, it is unthinkable that in 5 straight pass attempts there were 5 interceptions. I don’t know if that is some kind of Michigan record (has to be) but I’m not going to look it up. Yes, Vincent Smith had one to himself on a play that, again, never should have been called.

What was really sad was that Michigan was in this game in the 4th quarter. After all the gaffs, it was still there for the taking. But, alas, Karma just decided that it wasn’t Denard or Michigan’s day.

The B1G season starts in two weeks so we have to live with the miserable taste of this loss in our mouths for double digit days. This was clearly not what anyone was hoping for last Saturday.
The Rest of the Mess

Sparty – EMU: Apparently, Sparty’s offense is a bit of a mystery this year. I almost took Sparty to cover the spread in this game, but then I figure that its EMU and funny things happened when they show up at Spartan stadium. And sure enough, Sparty need 4 entire quarters to put EMU down, but it was closer than the final score would lead you to believe. I now wish Michigan was playing Sparty in the traditional time frame (early October)

Clemson - FSU: Another team that playe well enough to win, but this game was actually extremely competitive. If Jimbo Fisher figures out how not to lose to someone he shouldn’t, I think the Seminoles have a red carpet walk to the ACC championship.

K-State – Oklahoma: Okay…Another Big12 team we don’t have to talk about anymore…I hate to bash Michigan, but in a competition of pre-season over rankings, I have to believe that the Sooners own the title, with Michigan a close second year in and year out….

LMU- Auburn: Damn Auburn for showing up. Chizik decides to coach them up for this game or has LMU finally kicked enough good players off the team that they are beatable?

Oregon – Arizona: Huh…I really figured Rich Rod and company could trade TD’s with these guys….The Ducks Defense must be better than I thought…Duh…

Idle Thoughts From Saturday

-When I’m not there, I think night games aren’t as cool.
-Too long to wait for the start.
-Looks great under the lights though….
-Maybe because it’s at the Domers?
-Michigan looks confident out of the gate.
-Watched 1st half in a beer tent with a lot of Domer faithful from St. Pats…
-Loved the fact they kept showing a re-cap of last year’s game in the pre-game.
-Kept the Domer fans quiet – sort of….God, they’re an obnoxious group…
-Lots of cheers when Michigan did things right.
-One obnoxious moron felt he had to get back in the MMQ’s face after the first INT…
-Not that I was being that obnoxious…Okay, not more than USUAL…
-Just Domer game obnoxious.
-I left the beer tent at half time.
-Nobody had the courage to call me out and say that I was escaping.
-In fact, I told the crowd that Michigan gets better in the 2nd and there wasn’t anything I saw that COULD NOT BE CORRECTED!
-Just stop throwing the ball to the guys in Gold Helmets.
-That would have been a huge improvement.
-6 turnovers…Really?
-STOP THROWING IT TO THOSE GUYS!
-I mean, I get that big games are going to have turnovers.
-Kids get the jitters. They aren’t pros….
-Best thing heard on the radio: Rich Rod had a Pick-up truck QB that he was trying to drive like a Ferrari…Hoke has a Ferrari QB he’s trying to drive like a pick-up…
-That was actually heard by MMQ’s brother…
-Give credit where credit is due.
-Okay…I am not going to let this get me down for the week…
-Damn…It’s a Bye Week…That means two weeks of reading about how much they sucked…

More Idle Thoughts From the Weekend

-For the Love of Mike: TIGERS! WIN A GAME, wouldtya’?
-Lions had a comeback for the ages and then screwed it up…
-What were they thinking?
-I’m not entirely sure I’m buying the presser comment that they were trying to draw the Titans offsides.
-If it had worked, well, you’re a risk taking genius.
-Since it didn’t, we didn’t really mean to run that play…
The Hot Seat

A TIE last week between Bar and newcomer Alice Eve!  Which means, after 4 weeks, there are 4 Hot Seat Mascots that have made the finals...What a race!  The Hot Seat Mascot is something that takes up entirely too much of the MMQ’s time. I mean, I have to constantly look at beautiful women and decide whether or not they are Hot Seat Mascot worthy. I know how Hefner must feel…It’s a dirty job but someone has to do it….This week’s mascot was noticed a couple of years ago in Iron Man II by the MMQ and this past summer, she had a major role in The Avengers. Yep, Scarlett Johanson really knows how to wear skin tight leather….And lesser is always better?  I forget how that phrase goes...Anyway....









The order is a changing. John L has to be the number one spot at this point….

1. John L Smith – He’s only on a 10 month contract, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they canned him before then…
2. Derek Dooley: Derek needed a W against Florida. He needed it really bad. I’m not sure he survives another season if the Vols don’t make a bowl.
3. Tedford: Only Hot Seat Coach to lose in Week 1!! But I can’t move him above Kelly.
4. Randy Edsall: Maryland is going to start thinking that with the ACC as screwed up as it is, why aren’t we winning more football games?
5. Brett Beilema – Wiscy. His fans have expectations now. 200 yards of total offense are NOT their expectations.
6. Kevin Wilson: But can Indiana really expect much more? Really?
7. Dabo Sweeney: Either find a defense or find a new job….
8. Mark Richt: Just because he will lose some game he’s not supposed to and the annual “Fire Mark Richt” bandwagon will get a spit polish and a coat of paint…
9. Kelly, Brian: I know…I dropped Brian down a long way…Had to. He went 3-0 vs. B1G. That’s huge in Domer land.
10. Tubberville: Yeah, he’ll have a defense, but those people at Texas Tech are used to FIREWORKS!!!!!
11. Frank Spaziani: BC is a proud school that doesn’t get a lot of attention…
12. Mack Brown: I know, I know. But you didn’t think they would fire Joe Pa, either. Believe the MMQ when I say that his retirement or canning is nearer than you think…
13. Bo Pelini – Cornsucker fans expect to beat their non-conference opponents.

The FMQ

All right, this is just getting down right ridiculous. Two of my “lock” picks were totally the wrong way. And Michigan somehow hits the number. How on earth does Vegas know? I mean, they couldn’t have know that Michigan was going to turn the ball over 6 times? Amirite? Anyone? Amirite?
LSU (-18.5) @ Auburn:
Take LSU and lay the 18.5 for $30
LOSE. LMU Gets a wake up call and the FMQ realizes that it’s still the SEC West

Arizona (+24) @ Oregon
Take Arizona and the 24 for $50.
49-0? Really Dick Rod? You’re still screwing me…LOSE

Kansas State (+14) @ Oklahoma:
Take K-State and the 14 for $30
I can’t believe I almost laid off this game.. I should have bet more. WIN Bank $57

Clemson (+14) @ FSU:
Take Clemson and the 14 for $40
Tigers hang tough. Close enough for money, anyway. BANK $76

Michigan (+7) @ Domers:
Take Michigan and the 7 for $60
They couldn’t have put a ½ point teaser on that game early in the week? LOSE
PARLAY!
3 Team Parlay pays 6 to 1.
Michigan – Clemson-Arizona for $20 - LOSE

Starting Bank: $597
Total Win: 133
Bank: $730

I don’t like the way this season’s going…Back to the drawing board.

Early Monday Picks:

Northwestern (-13.5) vs. Indiana
Wiscy (+14) @ Nebraska
Oregon (-28) @ Wazoo

PS: Anyone know how hard it was to write today’s summary without a (JEEZ I HATE THESE GUYS!)…Whew….I feel better.

Friday, September 21, 2012

Domer Showdown Friday

Thanks to all who sent the following link and photo of an elaborate prank played on the Domers (JEEZ I HATE THESE GUYS!). It appears to be an after hours covert operation that involved a lot of coordination and speed. The MMQ has few of these type of endeavors under his belt from his high school days…. And while I believe it was in good taste and more or less, “Tells it like it is, DOMERS” you all know that the MMQ likes to do his bragging AFTER the fact, as show here, here, here and HERE…..




I was a little surprised at some of the feedback I received on last Friday’s post. Some took the time to state that the Domers playing 5 ACC games wasn’t that big of a deal considering that two of the teams the Domers had been playing regularly in the BEast are now moving to the ACC (Pitt and Syracuse). While I can’t ARGUE that, the point is that the Domers now have 5 games against members from a conference. So they can be tied into that conferences bowl agreements. Plain and simple, the Domers were getting screwed out of decent (read: Better Paying) post season matchups when they had an 8-5 or better record. $warbuck$ saw that money on the wall and simply made an easy decision that kept a majority of the “Independent” bandwagon drum beating people happy and got him what he wanted: Better late season scheduling and the opportunity to play on New Year’s day with a 3 or 4 loss season.

Full conference alignment won’t happen right away. I would say when the next Domer NBC contract expires will be about the time that ESPN will pony up for the ACC games that have the Domers as an opponent and the deep pockets of ESPN will be no match for NBC. Then, ESPN will dictate, “Well, we need more Domer content.” And the ACC will give a measurable amount to the Domers for a certain period and then it will be over. Domers are in the ACC. It’s kind of like pulling a band aid off real slow. It hurts all the way but in the end, the band aid is off and you start feeling better.

Anyway, enough about that nonsense and on to the more important issue:

The Game.

Michigan holds a 23-15-1 series advantage. This will be only the 40th meeting of these two schools. Shocking, in a way. Kind of like last year’s 24-7 come from behind victory with 28 - count em – 28 4th quarter points scored by the Maize and Blue… I hope Michigan can make it 24 wins tomorrow and let the groaning and pining for “Wait till next year!” cries to begin in South Bend! We’ve stolen 3 in a row and the last 5 out of 6. The odds are against Michigan, but I like their chances.

As for last week’s results, I’m a little gun shy about laying points other than in the most “lock” circumstances. And this week’s picks, with the exception of 1 game, will show that. I wish they had a money line in college football.

This Week’s Picks:

LSU (-18.5) @ Auburn: I have been burnt so much by giving points lately that you’d think I would have learned my lesson by now. Nope. Sometimes, it works! You just have to know which teams to like to cover. And I like Les in an SEC West showdown:
Take LSU and lay the 18.5 for $30

Arizona (+24) @ Oregon: Do I believe in The Rod or don’t I? I believe that Rich Rod did everything he could to win at Michigan. Biggest problem was he didn’t pay nearly enough attention to the defensive side of the ball. Scoring points, not so much of a big deal. Arizona getting 24 in Autzen sounds like enough, assuming the Wildcats can keep it close.
Take Arizona and the 24 for $50.

Kansas State (+14) @ Oklahoma: I should lay off this game, I really should. But looking at K-States stats leads me to believe that they could hang with the Sooners here. But after last week, who knows?
Take K-State and the 14 for $30

Clemson (+14) @ FSU: I believe FSU is the ACC team to beat this year. But Clemson, a 14 point dog in an ACC match-up? Really? I guess Dabo will have a lot of motivation this week and like I said, I’m taking dogs and points where ever possible this week.
Take Clemson and the 14 for $40

Michigan (+7) @ Domers: I’m glad I jumped on this spread on Monday as the line has moved 2 points down to 5. Which means there’s a bunch of wise guy money that believes Michigan and the points in this game is a good thing. Last 3 games have been decided by a total of 12 points. Look for an OT game with the possibility that Michigan comes out on top with a successful 2 point conversion. There will be mass Domer suicide afterwards in the form of alcohol consumption all over the campus and town of South Bend.
Take Michigan and the 7 for $60

PARLAY!

3 Team Parlay pays 6 to 1.
Michigan – Clemson-Arizona for $20

Starting Bank: $827
Total Bet: $250
Bank: $577

Monday, September 17, 2012

Ho Hum….UMass Offers Little As To What This Team IS

No need for healing pictures…But UMass’ team bloggers may want to steal a page from the M-Zone and try it. I don’t know what, if anything, you take away from the game if you’re a Minuteman. As expected, the Amaizin’ Blue treated UMass kind of like a new born puppy treats a chew toy: Abuse, thrash, shake around, repeat. With a couple of exceptions (D-Rob’s int being one of those) this game was a pretty good indication of what Michigan can look like against inferior opponents.


But, what exactly, if anything, did the fans (or the team for that matter) learn? I know that D-Rob is the fastest guy on the field in a regular game. He was more than likely faster than all of the UMass collective that he was facing. Michigan’s receivers were bigger, stronger and able to get wide open against a rather porous defense. Even the Michigan defense seemed to find a little something and put some stops on the UMass offense.

But at the end of the day with a lot of stats and even more points, what do we really know? This is still the same team that didn’t get a first down against Alabama until the 2nd quarter. Have they improved at all? I don’t know. Which is kind of why I hate playing these games. We learn nothing, risk injury and get a nice ‘W’ on the win-loss column. And yeah, it’s better than an ‘L’. I would not want to be Sparty this week.

Or USC….

Or Va Tech….

But more on them in a minute. This week, as usual, the mettle of Michigan will be tested against a group of players that have a purpose. Not only are they looking at revenge for the last three years, but there is an underlying hatred of what D-Rob and Michigan have done to the Domers (JEEZ I HATE THESE GUYS!) for two of the last three years….Charlie Wuzzles lost his last game in the last seconds….Ditto for Kelly. Kelly still hasn’t won a truly big game.

It’s going to be war.

I hope they’re ready.

Michigan is a road dog getting 7. That part I like.
The Rest of the Mess

Sparty – Domers: For one of the most anticipated games of the day, I have to say that this one was kind of a snoozer. Domers came out in shambles, immediately picked up a 5 yard penalty and then had to burn a time out before 1 second had ticked off the first quarter clock. Not that I minded. As the MMQ’s brother in law likes to say in a game like this: “Somebody I hate is gonna lose…” which isn’t a bad thing. What was bad, in my humble opinion, was that Sparty seemed to want to beat itself (in the bad way) more than the Domers did. Dropped passes, dropped interceptions, stupid penalties and an O-line that couldn’t keep anyone off their new QB, even though the Domers were only rushing 3 guys at times. I hate to think that Lou Holz is right and that the Domers “Are the real deal”, but I have to admit that Sparty made them look good. Sparty, which was the last undefeated hope of the B1G, goes down like a Viagra-less you know what at home….Does Michigan stand a chance?

Purdue-EMU: Purdue is making me nervous this year. I hate it when that happens….

Cremesicles vs. Gatorland: Dooley just moved UP on the Hot Seat List and Muschamp has figured out a way to keep himself off of the list. Game was good till 2nd half when everything went south for Tennessee.

Satan’s Warriors vs. Arkansas: I told you John L might find a way to get himself canned before his interim contract was up. I now have to move him into the top 10 after an embarrassing 52-0 shut-out loss at home. Telling the troops to keep their piss hot may not be enough coaching direction and the PTB at Arkansas may pull the trigger sooner rather than later.

Cheeseheads vs. Utah State: Beliema might have to move up a little on the ‘ole Hot Seat as beating Utah State is expected, but beating them only by a deuce is way unexpected. Cheesehead land is hurting without their O-coordinator who is getting it figured out at Pitt. Speaking of which….

Pitt vs. Va-Tech: WTF. I know, this is a family column, but really. Pitt looked absolutely dismal in their first two outings, one of which I partially watched when they lost to Cinci…And then they come out on Saturday and not only hang 35 on a decent VT defense, but hold a relatively explosive offense to 17? Maybe Berry Alvarez’s answer is to go hire the Pitt Head Coach BACK and let him run the show…

USC vs. Stanford: Okay. I’m done buying any of the hype of USC. They suck. Stanford, on the other hand, looks pretty darn good on the defensive side of the ball. And they may be the one making waves in the Pac 12 this year. The Ducks may have more to fear than just the usual suspects….

Suckeyes vs. Bears: Too bad the Bears couldn’t get a first down late or kick a field goal…Things just might have ended differently in the Shoe. Suckeyes have some blemishes on both offense and defense, but each rose to the occasion in the 4th quarter to seal the victory.
Idle Thoughts From Saturday

-What a gorgeous day for Football!
-I love bright, sunshiny 60 to 70 degree days in the fall with low humidity
-Anyone who doesn’t like that kind of weather?
-If you don't like it, I simply can’t relate to you.
-Why so much about the weather?
-Cause the 3:30 scrimmage I watched didn’t require me to think about too much…
-Okay, it was a game. But not really.
-I did think about next week vs. the Domers (JEEZ I HATE THESE GUYS!)
-And how we may only have a few more years to enjoy that rivalry.
-Can D-Rob and company pull off 4 in a row?
-They have to play the game, which I love!
-2nd hostile environment this year (If you’re counting Dallas as hostile)
-And D-Rob did okay last time down there. (hee-hee).
-I hope the BTN shows nothing but last year’s Under the Lights game this week…
-Domers come out and embarrass themselves…initially. Then, not so much.
-Might be a must win for Kelly. Can’t lose to Sparty and Wolverines again…
-Sparty looks off.
-Remote batteries are getting tired. Why can’t bowl days be like regular Football Saturdays?
-USC - Stanford and MSU-Domers. Two great match—ups.
-Stanford Defense is good. USC does NOT have a running game. Hence, one dimensional and easy to anticipate…
-Did anyone catch the end of the BYU - Utah Game?
-BYU kicker will be mentally scarred for life…Three opportunities with 0 ticks on the clock (to tie the game) and three misses…
-That sucks no matter who you are.
-PSU wins! I was glad to see that.
-Really. Haven’t the innocent all been through enough? Those kids are playing for pride.
-I hope they win a couple of B1G games, too.

The Hot Seat

This week’s Hot Seat Mascot is a nominee that came to my attention in my recent flights acround the globe. There isn’t much to do in economy on an airplane, so you watch a few movies. This actress was in Men In Black III and it made me wonder who she was. It didn’t take much research to conclude that she would be a good candidate. Without further ado: Alice Eve!






The order is a changing….But until Kelly beats Michigan, he stays at the top.

1. Kelly, Brian: Until someone, anyone unseats him or he beats Michigan, he has to be number 1.
2. John L Smith – He’s only on a 10 month contract, but it wouldn’t surprise me if they canned him before then…
3. Derek Dooley: Derek needed a W against Florida. He needed it really bad. I’m not sure he survives another season if the Vols don’t make a bowl.
4. Tedford: Only Hot Seat Coach to lose in Week 1!! But I can’t move him above Kelly.
5. Randy Edsall: Maryland is going to start thinking that with the ACC as screwed up as it is, why aren’t we winning more football games?
6. Kevin Wilson: But can Indiana really expect much more? Really?
7. Brett Beilema – Wiscy. His fans have expectations now. 200 yards of total offense are NOT their expectations.
8. Dabo Sweeney: Either find a defense or find a new job….
9. Mark Richt: Just because he will lose some game he’s not supposed to and the annual “Fire Mark Richt” bandwagon will get a spit polish and a coat of paint…
10. Tubberville: Yeah, he’ll have a defense, but those people at Texas Tech are used to FIREWORKS!!!!!
11. Frank Spaziani: BC is a proud school that doesn’t get a lot of attention…
12. Mack Brown: I know, I know. But you didn’t think they would fire Joe Pa, either. Believe the MMQ when I say that his retirement or canning is nearer than you think…
13. Bo Pelini – Cornsucker fans expect to beat their non-conference opponents.

The FMQ

Jeez…The FMQ is humbled again. I hate it when that happens. Biggest problem that I can see in the self analysis: Too much faith in teams to cover. Too much faith in revenge games. Too much faith in bad teams staying bad. But when there’s upsets, well…That makes me feel even worse because the other side of the bet would have been stress free!

EMU @ Purdue(-24): Take Purdue and lay the 24 for $30
WIN! Danny Hope doesn’t like anything with Michigan in the title. BANK: $57

Domers @ Sparty (-6.5): Take Sparty and lay the 6.5 for $50
Doth mine eyes deceive me? Where did Sparty go and are the Domers that good? LOSE

USC (-10) @ Stanford:
Take USC and lay the 10 for $60
Huh, wah? Stanford 4 in a row over the Mighty Trojans?….LOSE

Va Tech (-12) @ Pitt: Take Va Tech, lay the 12 for $50
I don’t like the trend this is taking. Did you also notice that these last three games weren’t only point spread losses – THEY WERE UPSETS that I was on the wrong side of….
’dis ish wen my hed asploded…..LOSE

UMASS @ Michigan (-45): Take Michigan and lay the 45 for $60
Okay…two wins…But this was a miserable week…BANK: $114

PARLAY!
3 Team Parlay pays 6 to 1.
Michigan – MSU - USC for $20
LOSE

Starting Bank:     $656
Total Win:          $171
Bank:                 $827 (Ugh….I hate going in the hole early….)

Early Monday Picks:

Michigan (+7) @ Domers
LSU (-18.5) @ Auburn
Arizona (+24) @ Oregon
Kansas State (+14) @ Oklahoma