Friday, September 28, 2018

The FMQ Week #5 - The Whacky World Of CFB


Hmmm…Where Is This Season Heading?
Anyone else find it strange that last year’s QB’s that started/played in the National Championship game have both been benched, one is transferring and the other might transfer.  What kind of whacky NCAA football world are we living in??? 
Wait – don’t answer that…but there is this:
Rutgers Sucks…
In what will go down in history as “Delaney’s Folly” once cable subscribers find multiple other ways to get games and content, the lasting regrets of bringing Rutgers into the conference will linger for generations.  I didn’t realize that Rutgers had lost some of their academic status and their athletic status is bad, even for Rutgers.
The problem is, Rutgers was never meant and doesn’t fit the B1G School Model.  Maryland at least had some history of success and an undeniably successful basketball program, plus the location on the East Coast.  While Rutgers had the location, that was all they brought to the table. 
THE Sex Toy University Can’t Seem To EVER Get It Right…
The next time I suggest that either LNU or THE STU are inferior universities and institutions and someone wants to argue with me, I will keep this graphic handy.

IS everyone at these 2 institutions tone deaf to what happened on their watches?  Unbelievable
I Can’t Upload Twitter Anymore…
But if this WASN’T TARGETING (And even after booth review and review this week it wasn’t called targeting) than there’s absolutely no friggin’ way that either of Khaleke’s hits were targeting.
BULL$@#$%T!!!!!
THE FMQ
Sigh…Losing sucks.  That’s all there is to it.  And from what I understand, there are four winless teams in college football: UCLA, Nebraska, San Jose State and UTEP. This makes half-sense. There are 20 unbeatens, including Duke, Kentucky, Syracuse and Cincinnati. This makes no sense. Is this college football or the NCAA Final Four?
I don’t know how I blew the Michigan – Nebraska match-up so bad, but se la vie.  In fact, there were several head scratching blow-outs of games where, statistically speaking, the scores should have been much closer.  The Gophers, Indiana and Iowa all really let the FMQ down.  Just when you think you know somebody they up and crap the bed!!


Never fear, howeva’!!!  You gotta’ have heart if you’re gonna’ be a GAMBLER!!! 
On to this week’s picks:
Louisiana @ Bama (-47.5): This spread should be in the 50’s…and there’s probably a threat of Bama rolling up to triple digits.   There’s no way Satan will be able to sub early enough to keep this score from getting out of hand and the back-ups from Bama will keep rolling right over Rajun Cajuns for the entire game.  Easy money (I hope)…
Take Bama and lay the 47.5 for $50
Syracuse @ Clemson (-26):  With all of the Chaos in Clemson this week, I’m curious as to why some wise guy money hasn’t bet it up on the side of Syracuse.  The Orange have given Clemson a game for the last two years.  Dino knows how to get these guys up for a game.  And you can bet they’re gonna’ try to come after frosh QB Lawrence and rattle his cage a little.  I like the Cuse and the points.   
Take Syracuse and the 26 for $25
WVU @ Texas Tech (+3.5):  Since the first disaster of a game, the Red Raiders have really improved…This is a match-up where TT’s strength, offense, goes up against WVU’s achille’s heel, defense.  Texas Tech at home and a long way for WVU to travel. In an early game for WVU where their body clocks will think it’s 11:00 AM...Yeah, take the Red Raiders in a shoot-out.   
Take Texas Tech and the 3.5 for $25
CMU @ LNU (-26):  LNU and CMU is like a rivalry game according to Mark D’Antominua.  Well, at least the head coach understands who their rival is!  Still, with LNU’s struggles on offense, this line sort of makes this pick a coin flip.  But I think at home and the fact that CMU is just SO INCREDIBLY BAD this season, the green slime should be able to cover the number…
Take LNU and lay the 26 for $25
Stanford @ domers (-6):  If everyone believes that the domers are playing that much better with Booker as QB, why doesn’t this spread reflect that??  Yep, scratching my head as I thought this would be in the 10-13 point range.  At least two scores.  But maybe Stanford is better than anyone thinks and Vegas isn’t buying the domers just yet.  I’m going to go light with the Cards, but will probably regret this come Sunday.
Take Stanford and the 6 for $20
Purdue @ Nebraska (+3.5):  Home dogs are USUALLY the team to bet on.  Howeva’, I think we all saw just how BAD the cornsuckers were last week and I also think we saw how good Purdue can play when they stop making stupid mistakes.  I’m not sure the home field advantage counts for much here.  I like Purdue by a couple of scores…
Take Purdue and lay the 3.5 for $25
THE Sex Toy University @ PSU (+4):  HMMMMM….  I know that THE Sex Toy U is the way better team in this one, even without Bosa.  Still, White-Out in Happy Valley where that fan base has been whooping it up all day is a crazy environment.  And that fan-base gets even rowdier when it comes to teams from the states of ohio and Michigan. I’ll definitely take the Home Dogs in this one...
Take PSU and the 4 for $25
Michigan @ Northwestern (-13.5 O/U: 46) All right.  Now that I’ve reset myself on what I THINK Michigan is, I can tell you that, if they play the way they did Saturday against the cornsuckers, the Purple Kitties will suffer the same fate as the cornsuckers.  I’ve rewatched a couple of Northwestern games and while I think they have a better defense than Nebraska, though not by much, their offense is not very good.  And it tries to attack in a way that plays right into Michigan’s hands.  Of course, on the road in the B1G and it’ll finish at night in Evanston.  Still, Michigan should win this walking away…    
Take Michigan and lay the 13.5 for $50
Take the OVER for $50
PARLAY!
3 Bet/Team Parlay:   6-1
Michigan – Bama – Michigan/NWU OVER:  $40
TOTAL BET:  $340
Bank:  $517

Wednesday, September 26, 2018

The Mailbag, Chaos In Clemson, More...


I’m tired of Hudson getting called for targeting.  Is it him or the rule?  Both?
I understand why we have a targeting rule in the NCAA and NFL at this point.  CTE is no laughing matter and the reason the rule was put in place is to help players live long and fruitful lives after they're done playing.
HOWEVA’!  There are now way too many instances of hits that are legit and that are called targeting that shouldn’t be.  The unintended consequences are something that needs to be dealt with.  How the I-I-I (Idiots In Indy) screwed this one up so bad is beyond me, especially when there’s a perfect model that is used in NCAA hoops. 
Change the rule to Targeting I & Targeting II, just like Intentional Fouls.  A Targeting I would receive the personal foul yardage and the player has to go to the “penalty box” for 15 minutes or the remainder of the game if it occurs in the 4th quarter.  Targeting II would result in the player’s ejection for the remainder of that game.
I still think the 1 half penalty in the ensuing game on a kid who’s just trying to play football is too severe.  And if he’s a star player, it hurts the rest of the team. There’s no other sport where a personal foul penalty carries over to the following game.  Save for a league determined penalty on a foul for an extremely severe penalty or unsportsmanlike conduct.
But yes, I’m tired of Hudson not getting to play in the 1st half of football games…
It’s hard to believe you were nervous about this game.  I mean, Nebraska was BAD.  What got you so nervous that you thought the upset might happen?
Again, I read too much.  At night, sometimes a day or two before the game.  That in turn keeps me awake and it becomes a run-away train from there.  First, I read the “Fee-Fi-Fo-Film” over at www.mgoblog.com and the way Seth breaks down offenses and defenses is amazing.  I could not or cannot do what he does, but I learn every year and every week when I read his stuff.  His follow-up, “Neck Sharpies”, also breaks down the game and provides really good insight as to what Michigan is doing really well and what they’re sucking at.
When I read the F-F-F-F on Nebraska’s O, I got nervous.  Seth adds clips of the opponent against someone else and, I mean, you simply have to look at what Nebraska did to Colorado on certain plays.
So, yes, I had a sense that Nebraska was a much better team.
But if you clicked THAT link, now you have to click on Neck Sharpies to understand how BAD Nebraska played on Defense.  And Offense. 
The LB play of Nebraska was especially atrocious and not expected.  But what you need to understand is that Michigan was also throwing different looks at Nebraska, making all that good stuff happen. 
Long to Short:  If I would just stop reading, if I would start trusting that the Michigan coaching staff KNOWS WHAT THEY’RE DOING (and watches film too), well, everything will be fine!
 So, you think racking up points against a bunch of teams ranked (statistically) over 50th in the country is a big deal?  I don’t.  Like you said:  Harbaugh has to prove it to me at this point.  Nothing less than 1-Loss heading down to Columbus is acceptable right now.  IF this team is as good as you think it is…
The MMQ isn’t the only one wondering this.  Yes, I was on a little Monday Morning high and I do think Michigan played a great game.  But yes, Bill Connely wonders the same thing from SBNation.
On one hand, Michigan is back up to fifth in S&P+ this week, and if the Wolverines stay around there, it would be their third top-10 finish in four seasons under the khaki-wearing 54-year-old. 2017’s retooling season went worse than expected, but it’s still hard to ask for much more than this, especially at a program that had enjoyed only one S&P+ top-10 finish in the eight seasons since Lloyd Carr’s retirement.
While that’s impressive, why does Harbaugh keep losing big games to the rivals?
That’s the question.  And the rivals are also part of the problem:
The rivals are looking just fine, too.
Ohio State, second in S&P+, has one of the two or three most talented teams in the country and currently has a projected 68 percent chance of beating Michigan again when the two teams face off in late November.  
(This is depressing to see – Editor.)

Penn State is currently sixth in S&P+ (a slight error on Sunday had their rankings reversed, though their ratings were nearly equal). The two teams will take each other on in a virtual coin-toss game (Michigan’s current win probability: 55 percent) on November 3.
(Better – Ed.)

After a rough start, Michigan State is back up to 18th in S&P+. The Wolverines will be slight favorites when the in-state rivals play in East Lansing on October 20, but ... well ... they were favored by solid margins in 2015 and 2017. Odds don’t appear to matter all that much to Mark Dantonio.
(Screw Everyone In East Lansing – Ed.)

Connelly wraps the article up with the fact that Michigan could (and should) be 6-1 heading into East Lansing.  Wiscy and PSU at home are proving to be very important games to have at home.
Classic Troll???
Speaks for itself....
Forgot to Put Steaks From The Tailgate On The Blog On Monday!
Gotta’ love Bama Fans!  They now how to Tailgate!  Filet Mignon was the call of the day!  And it was awesome!


Chaos In Clemson
This story is crazier than anything that’s happened so far this season.  Dabo may be making the biggest mistake of his career.  Kelly Bryant is a great QB and Dabo, instead of making his hot-shot frosh sit on the bench and learn, has decided to start Trevor Lawrence based not on his performance in a hostile environment where he CHOKED (Texas A&M) but rather, how he played against a tomato can (Georgia Tech).  Yep.  Watch for this one to blow up in Dabo’s face similar to how it blew up in Lloyd Carr’s face with respect to Henson – Brady.  Stupid – stupid -stupid.  And, of course, Kelly just announced this AM that he’ll be transferring. 
Northwestern Loses Leading Running Back To Spinal Cord Defect
This sucks….
Jeremy Larkin decided to stop playing after medical staff discovered that he has cervical stenosis, a narrowing of the spinal canal in the neck. Larkin had run for 346 yards and five touchdowns for the Wildcats in their first three games of the season.
Alabama Will SHRINK Bryant Denny Stadium
This is kind of baffling, but in a weird way, I’m curious to see how it turns out.  I’ve always been of the, “Less is More” persuasion.  Fewer seats would mean a longer waiting list to get season tickets. And fewer seats would make said tix more VALUABLE to the fans that are ponying up.  Meaning you could actually scalp and make a few bucks…

College Football is going through the same thing the NFL is going through.  Too many bad games that people don’t want to waste an entire day getting to the game and watching a boring opponent.  Sure, it’s no problem getting fannies in seats when its Auburn, LSU, or some other worthy opponent (for Bama).  But when you only play 8 conference games, 2 FCS teams and two Power 5 non-conference teams, of which the FCS teams are automatically home games, yeah, I can see where Bama fans are like, “Screw this.  I’ll keep my money, build a man-cave and watch from home.”
This Week In Schadenfreude
Poor Tennessee and Va Tech....
https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/9/24/17893626/college-football-reaction-tennessee-virginia-tech


Monday, September 24, 2018

Huskers Husked


Walking into the stadium, I was accosted by a local law enforcement officer for wearing the street attire pictured.  The officer politely instructed me to “Remove my shirt and turn it inside-out”.  I told her I would do that as soon as I got to my seat.  Which, of course, no, I didn’t.  
Dilly-Dilly!!!
As we took our seats, AP announced that it was time for a “Good Ole’ Fashioned A$$$ Kickin’!!!”
How prophetic those words would end up being!  Michigan played a COMPLETE GAME.  Anyone that can find an issue with Michigan’s performance on Saturday just likes to hear themselves bitch
I cannot recall a half of football in the Big House where the opposing team only managed to achieve 17 total yards of offense.
Read that again – 17 Total yards of Offense. 
Just one more time to make sure you got it: 
17 YARDS OF OFFENSE In the First Half!
I mean, I knew the cornsuckers were bad, I just had no idea they were THIS BAD.  The Highlights:
They were worse than SMU.  THEY WERE WAY WORSE THAN Western.  In all honesty, on Friday, this guy was thinking that there was a way that the cornsuckers would somehow pull off the upset.  No, I’m not kidding.  I was really thinking that. That’s what you get for looking at numbers, stats, etc. and letting your imagination get the best of you. 
The cornsuckers are a team that found a way to roll-up 500+ yards of offense on Colorado.  Then, to come into the Big House and lay an egg of monumental proportions is unheard of.  We’ve seen bad teams in the Big House before, but neither AP or I could remember a game where the opposing team only had 17 yards of offense in the 1st half…Most of Nebraska’s yards came in the 4th quarter when everyone was looking in the program to figure out who was playing Defense for Michigan…
So, is the Michigan defense that good?  In a word, Hell Yeah…
I guess that’s two words.
Michigan got off to such a fast start that they had two plays and over 50 yards of offense thanks to Karan Higdon and a nifty little run after a catch.  Mason took over inside the cornsucker’s 10 and scored easily on the initial drive. 
You could feel the ole’ fashion A$$ Whuppin’ starting right there. 
Never the less, I can’t really say much else about the game.  Michigan went up by so much so early, that the Patterson Passing Show was dismantled and Michigan’s “O” more or less hit the cruise control button.  Higdon was on the bench at halftime with over 100 yards of rushing.  Michigan rushed the ball so efficiently (over 5 yards per attempt) that not only was the passing game not necessary, it became kind of predictable.  Which, I hate.  When the MMQ can start calling plays from row 74 of the north end-zone, I’ve either seen too many Michigan Football games or Michigan oversimplified the play-calling.  Maybe a little of both.  Of course, when Michigan did pass, good things happened.  The most frustrating part was the non-PI call (that would have been called by last week’s crew) on Nico Collins that would have been a TD had he not been molested right before the catch…McCaffery saw action late in the 3rd quarter when Harbaugh officially sent the message to Frost that “We’re out-hitting and out-playing you today.”  Which means Peters is the 3rd string guy?  McCaffery looked up to the challenge and was fairly precise in the passes he threw.  Michigan no longer has a QB problem…nuff said.
And there was this gem from DPJ – Which if I hear one more word from ANYONE complaining about this kid, I’ll dot his eyes!
This D has to be given some sort of award.  Michigan leapt up in the statistical ratings thanks to the cornsuckers and their lack of effort.  I believe Winnovich when he stated, “It seems like they don’t even want to be out here.”  That was more than an opinion.  That was a statement of fact.
“Yeah, I think we out-hit them today,” Winovich said. “I’m interested to see if maybe he has a different opinion of it.”

The he, as you may already know, is Scott Frost, who found a dubious silver lining in UCF’s 51-14 loss to Michigan two years ago. There was no such silver lining for Frost’s Nebraska Cornhuskers on Saturday after a 56-10 shellacking that, really, wasn’t even as close as that.

Weirdest play of the day?  The double forward pass by Martinez that the refs didn’t even know how to call.  The MMQ was all over it and I had the Safety Pose up early.   After the refs goofed around for 3 or 4 minutes, they finally figured it out. 
So, what does that mean for the Purple Kitties and the Terps?  I think they’re both in big trouble.  The Purple Kitties haven’t lived up to their pre-season hype and the Terps, while they found a way to stick it to the gophers, aren’t going to like visiting the Big House this season.  The next challenge(s) looms in the form of Wiscy, LNU and PSU.  In that order.  The next two weeks, assuming Michigan sticks to this form of football, will be a lot more like scrimmages than games. 
And if Michigan continues to play like this, it will all really boil down to November 24th in Columbus. 
Of course, that assumes THE Sex Toy University takes care of business this weekend in Happy Valley.  Two B1G undefeateds go head to head.  For what a lot of people think is for the B1G Championship.  But those people aren’t paying attention to what’s going on in Ann Arbor…
But now I’m getting way ahead of myself. 
The Rest of the Mess

CUD- Complete Unmitigated Disasters

Va Tech – Somehow, this is a team that went on the road, destroyed a BAD FSU team and was poised to take the lead in the ACC Coastal and was poised to take over a spot in the Top 10 sitting at number 11 in the national rankings.  Then, disaster.  This isn’t even a disaster.  This is like the horror re-visited.  Old Dominion is not a good team.  They were 0-3 heading into Blacksburg as a 29-point dog.  Yet they somehow found a way.  Fuentes has to be beside himself.  You don’t lose a game like this to a team like that.  To top it off, Fuentes had to kick his number 1 Defensive End off the team for conduct unbecoming.  As the say, when it rains, it pours.  And it’s the ACC’s turn in the bucket this week.  The B1G was last week.  But when Clemson, Syacuse and the Wolfpack are you’re only undefeateds, you’ve got problems

Louisville – Just got CRUSHED by Virginia. This was a pretty good team last season, but what a difference a few players and a season can make.  The Cardinals will be lucky to make a bowl this season.   

Tennessee – You lost the one game you had a shot at winning.  And you lost BAD.  Pruitt’s rebuilding job may take longer than Frost’s, and the Volunteer fan base is nowhere NEAR as patient as the cornsuckers.  If Pruitt doesn’t win an SEC game, it’ll be very rough off-season sledding on ole’ Rocky Top…


Oregon – You had Stanford.  You let them back in the game.  And you lost in OT.  I like Mario Cristobal, but you can’t lose games like that.  Not at home. 

TCU – Another game where TCU could have dominated, but instead let the ShortHorns in the game and they couldn’t turn it around.  ShortHorn fans have to be wringing their collective hands over the week #1 loss to the Terps.  They’ve been very impressive since.

Nebraska – The Cornsuckers are on a 7-game losing streak and haven’t been 0-3 in 73 years.  73 years.  That’s like two lifetimes.  I will admit that all the Nebraska fans we met were incredibly nice and, in a weird way, I hope Frost gets this turned around sooner rather than later. 

Wake Forest – In the weekend’s “Upset Special” where all the money was flying in on the Deamon Deacons, the domers proved to be way to much for Wake Forest and throttled them.  The defeat was so bad, Head Coach Clawson fired Defensive Coordinator Jay Sawvel.  Normally, that doesn’t happen and there had to be some friction there already.
 
Come Back Off The Ledge

Gophers – I liked the row the boat show last week and they went down to Maryland and crapped the bed.  They just didn’t even look good in the process.  The Gophers had less than 300 total yards and couldn’t rush the ball.  They actually made Maryland look good, when last weekend Maryland made Temple look like Super Bowl Champions.  College football. Go figure.

Texas A&M – Still looked decent against Alabama and somehow managed to beat the spread.  2 losses to the #1 and #2 ranked teams in the country isn’t anything to hang your head about, but wins would be better...

Boston College – right after jumping into the Top 25, you have to go to West Lafayette and play the best 0-3 team in the country.  Call it Karma.  Purdue is not a bad team and there’s no reason to feel down about that loss.  The ACC is a mess and you’re still in it.

We Won But…We Should Be Worried Week  
    
Oklahoma – The FMQ Called it, but seriously?  In what would have been the upset of the weekend, the Laters needed OT to finally beat Army.  The Laters have a bad habit of playing worse and worse after the first weekend of football.  Then they find a way to bounce back at the end of the season. 

Wiscy Looked ordinary against a good Iowa team.  Wiscy is NOT the powerhouse this fan thought they were.  I re-watched the Wiscy-Iowa game and Wiscy is very beatable at this point.  If you’re a cheesehead, you should be worried.

LNU – Went down to Indiana and took care of business, but the green team doesn’t look that good this season.  And that’s with 4 weeks in the books.  And after a week off. 

THE Sex Toy University – Sure, you blasted Tulane.  But is Bosa gone for the entire season?  I’m not saying one player is everything, but that’s a pretty important gut to lose…especially heading into Happy Valley.

Can Anyone Beat Bama?

I thought the Aggies had a shot, but Satan’s Warriors are simply too much for anyone this season.  Bama now plays no one until LSU in November.  Bama has an average margin of victory of 41 points and is set to break their overall scoring average this season.  So be ready to see that stupid A get put up on the Tuesday night rankings show until at least then

The 5 Stages of Slappy Fan Grief

  1. Denial and Isolation –Va Tech.  Nothing else needs to be said…   
  2. ANGER –Let’s go Va Tech here as well…You beat FSU on the road for F-Sake and you can’t beat a winless Old Dominion? 
  3. Bargaining –Nebraska looking for 1 W for the column.  Just to say they earned one…
  4. Depression –Va Tech, Nebraska, Texas A&M, and some others… 
  5.  Acceptance – Not yet!  Season’s still young….

Speaking Of Buyer’s Remorse…

Frost and Kelly have to be having the worst season’s of any new head coaches that were hired based on their ability to win.  I wanted a reporter to ask Frost how far away the 13-0 season last year looks in the rearview mirror.  To go from the proverbial top (You can’t do any better than undefeated, I don’t care what level you’re playing) to winless in less than 12 month’s-time has got to hurt.  Chip Kelly also has to be wondering why he gave up his ESPN gig and got back into this mess.  Time will tell, but one of these guys may not make it as long as they think.
Idle Thoughts from Saturday

-Dilly-Dilly!!
-Everyone thought it would be funny if I wore that shirt...

-And it was!
-I guess the law wasn’t impressed.
-I mean, I’ve seen worse shirts worn by the visiting team.
-If they’re not making them take those off, I’m wearing Dilly-Dilly for the Maize Out!
-Nebraska doesn’t look good.
-Oh Jeez.  This is going to get out of hand...
-Wow.  This is not Nebraska Football.
-I’m not even sure this is bad high school football.
-Frost is going to have his hands full moving forward.
-This isn’t a 3-year turnaround. 
-This is a 5-year project.
-Frost needs to finds some guys that want to play football.
-They look inept.
-I was actually worried about this game.
-No need to worry!
-Higdon already on the bench?
-I guess.  I’d be pissed if he got hurt with a lead this big…
-McCaffery in.  Over Peters…
-Hmmmm.  Peters in the Dog House or just getting outplayed?
-From the looks of it, he’s getting out played.
-Who’s playing Defense for Michigan right now?
-I don’t recognize anyone.
-Harbaugh called off the dogs. 
-Right thing to do.
-This score could have been 80, easy.
-Trust me.

THE MMQ’s “I DON’T NEED A COMMITTEE!”
Will return when the Committee makes their first ranking!

The Hot Seat

ZAPPED List

We’ll keep track of who’s gone as the season progresses….
  1. Durkin – I really don’t know what’s taking so long and that’s forever to leave a guy hanging in the gallows…

Electric Chair of Death Seat!
  1. FuentesCan’t lose to a winless Old Dominion team and not expect to get some heat for it.  I’m sure Fuentes survives, but this will not be a pleasant week in Blacksburg... 

The Hot Seat

  1. Kelly - UCLA  winless keeps on the hot seat. 
  2. Ash - Rutgers
  3. Brohm – 1 Win is good, but a bowl is needed.
  4. Sumlin – Arizona