Wednesday, November 28, 2018

Hoops Critical 4-Game Stretch - The Aftermath

It’s Hoops Time!

Now that the Bad Thing has Happened (Again), it’s time to focus on Hoops.  Michigan has a critical 4-game stretch (starting tonight!) that will mean a lot come committee time and if Michigan can negotiate it successfully, it might even be the difference between a 2-3-4 Seed line come the NCAA’s.



So Let’s call this the “Mini-Revenge Tour”.  Michigan suffered losses to UNC last season and to South Carolina in 2016-17 season in a pre-season tourney.  Michigan gets BOTH OF THOSE TEAMS at HOME!  Should be some great basketball.  I won’t even discuss Purdue and Northwestern, but they’re in there, also and each team was responsible for one of Michigan’s 8 losses last season. 

4 Games – 4 Shots at Redemption!  And to remain perfect on the season!!!

Want to know something sad??

2016 B1G Championship Teams: 

Wiscy and PSU.  Both were defeated by Michigan.

2018’s B1G Championship Teams

Northwestern and The osu – Michigan defeated Northwestern.

In the last 3 seasons, Michigan is 3-3 against B1G Championship teams in those seasons. 

When you win the games is important. 

OSU vs. Maryland Highlights


OSU vs. Nebraska Highlights


OSU vs. Purdue Highlights


So why did I put highlights of all the games where the osu appeared to suck?

Because there’s a pattern.  And to prove I was right. 

Everyone that gave the osu fits this season did two things:  They BOMBED the football – A LOT.  And they ran sweeps to the outside, sealing the ends and negating the osu linebacker play.  I’m starting to wonder if the Michigan coaching staff even watched these games.  I would have had Patterson throwing early and figuring out how to get DPJ the ball on some jet sweeps.  Even Patterson running more RPO’s would have been more effective. 

Michigan got caught up in it’s own perceived ability to run inside and based that off of what had been atrocious outings against teams that Michigan literally steam-rolled. 

But it’s Michigan vs. the osu.  The gloves have to come off.  You have to empty the play-book.
Best Thing Seen On Twitter: 
“Harbaugh is becoming the Michigan version of John Cooper”

I don’t say that with humor.  It actually makes me a little ill…

The Mailbag 

A lot of you had feedback, understandably so.  So, without further ado and because this is a community blog:

SO, not one mention of how the three weaknesses that I harped at you about all season were the keys to our demise.  It is not my point that my insight was especially profound, it IS my point that my observations ran counter to many of the statistics (and were met with mostly contempt from you) and "in-depth" "expert" analysis and yet my observations proved to be more accurate.  Here are some memory aids:

1.  The slime stopped themselves far more often than we stopped them.

2.  2 of our 3 TD drives against the slime were only enabled by super lucky tipped completions.

3.  How r we going to stop the suckeyes if we can't even stop IU?

4.  Shea is inaccurate and slow to make decisions.

5.  WE CAN'T BEAT A GOOD TEAM IF WE CAN'T PLAY A DECENT FIRST QUARTER!!!  THIS really deserves more attention, as this has been a rather consistent problem since Jimmy arrived.

SuperFan

Lot’s of anger here.

I get that.  Yep.  You have every right to be angry.  And at this point, based on no small part as to how the team simply didn’t look ready to go, I have to say that Michigan’s Coaching Staff needs to take a long hard look at themselves and how they game-plan. 
I’ll address your issues in reverse order:

5.  The 1st quarter thing is definitely a thing.  Looking at this season’s box scores, Michigan is slow to get out of the gate, ESPECIALLY later in the season.  Michigan checked in at number 84 in the country in 1st Quarter scoring.  The jump up to 9 in 2nd quarter scoring, drop down to 31 in 3rd quarter scoring and finish the game ranked 12th in 4th quarter scoring.  In contrast, that school to the south of us does a lot better in this area in all quarters of the game.  In addition, you could also argue that Michigan SUCKS in the 3rd quarter in what used to be Michigan’s quarter.

Harbaugh needs to figure out that sometimes it’s okay to jump on somebody early and then just hold them down.  Last year, Michigan couldn’t finish a game to  save their ass.  This season, they needed a jump start in the 1st quarter of the 2nd half of the season because everyone CAN PREDICT what Michigan is going to run as they’ve see it all for 6 games.   (Links to scoring for all 4 quarters. )


4.  I think the only reason Shea is inaccurate and slow is that he’s not given nearly enough chances.  Taking Saturday out of the equation, Michigan ran the ball on 65% of its plays this season.  Michigan should have a more balanced attack and I think Shea would get more comfortable.  Shea still finishes with one of the highest QB ratings since Chad Henne, so, I’m not going to say he’s awful and what’s wrong can’t be fixed.  Again, it’s a SYSTEMIC problem with the offense and Harbaugh.  He needs to figure that out (Harbaugh). 

3.  IU is a pretty good team.  I watched part of the Ole Oaken Bucket game and Purdue had their hands full.  IU also gave the osu a pretty good game, also.  Good offenses will find a way.   That’s why your own offense has to be able to step up and win a game once in a while.

2.  Okay?  I’ll take them.  Michigan owned the green slime in East Lansing.  That game was never in doubt. 

1.  That’s what bad teams do…Stop themselves. 

Anyway, I take my cap off to your analysis.  Most of it’s spot on.  The only thing you didn’t hit on was Brown’s stubbornness to admit that at times, a Zone can work effectively against certain attacks. 

When does this End?  Can Harbaugh Adjust?  Meyer proved (again) what a really good offense can do to a #1 Defense.  Saban learned that lesson, too...

Well, I’ve got a couple of ideas.  Kliff Kingsbury from Texas Tech is available.  How about Michigan bringing him in as a consultant on offense for a season just to see how it would work out?  The osu hired Coach Chaos (Kevin Wilson) when he was released from Indiana and that seems to be working out pretty good.  I think Rich Rod is still working for ESPN and would probably be welcomed with open arms as an offensive minded guru – analyst  - advisor.  Something needs to happen on the offensive side of the ball.  That much is clear.  And Michigan still has to prove itself in the recruiting wars.  Speed was a factor, but it looked really bad Saturday.

OSU has been blocking punts all season.  Did Michigan know that and were they prepared?  That’s when things went bad. 

I wouldn’t say all season, but they did have 3 blocked punts to their credit.  And - Yes.  The blocked punt was a problem and Shea throwing a pick right afterwards really sent things south.  It’s almost as if they were playing to hard.  Michigan wasn’t loose.  They were forcing the game. 

Sorry Russ – I can’t watch anymore!  What a letdown…

That sums it up. 

Links To Misery…

How Nick Saban Saved Bama


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