Friday, September 7, 2018

The FMQ Week #2 - Some Cupcakes and Some Meat


I Hate When Work Gets In The Way
Sorry for this post being so late on a Friday!  I have been inundated at work and sooner or later, you’re time just gets eaten up.  Not a lot to talk about today, so I m just going to dive into the FMQ.
THE FMQ
Not a terrible week and if I COULD JUST LAY OFF THE PARLAYS AND THE CASH LINE BETS I’d be ahead!  Sparty ALMOST CAME THROUGH for me in a big way with a nice money line win, but it didn’t happen. 


Let’s see what’s on the slate for this week. 
On to this week’s picks:
TCU @ SMU (+19 ): This spread should be more.  SMU still isn’t that good and TCU will destroy SMU, softening them up for their trip to Ann Arbor.
Take TCU and lay the 19 for $30
Duke @ Northwestern (-4):  Northwestern looked impressive on the offensive side of the ball.  Duke lost a bunch and I don’t think this spread is big enough!!   
Take the Kitty Kats lay the 4 for $30
PSU @ Pitt (+9.5):  Can’t believe this series ends after this…Lots of hate between these two.  Based on the fact it’s the last time, I don’t see anyone letting the other guy get more than a couple of scores ahead.  It’ll be dicey and PSU didn’t show me anything on Defense agains APP State.   
Take Pitt and the 9.5 for $30
USC @ Stanford (-5):  I understand why Stanford is the favorite in this game, but Bryce Love being held to under 100 yards is concerning.  I’ve got to take USC and the points in this one.
Take USC and the 5 for $30
Kentucky @ Florida (-15):  Florida looks better with Mullen.  But better enough to lay 15 against perennial door mat Kentucky?  Why not! 
Take Florida and lay the 15 for $25
Clemson @ Texas A&M (+14  O/U:  52):  This is an interesting spread.  It opened at 14.5 and dropped to as low as 12.  Now it’s crept back up to 14.  I like Texas A&M and the Home of the 12th Man at HOME!!!  Jimbo’s gonna’ beat somebody…
Take Texas A&M and the 14 for 25
Take the OVER for $30
Georgia @ South Carolina (+10):  There’s a lot of yapping about this game this week.  South Carolina had a good opener against nobody and built up their confidence.  Georgia didn’t need a confidence boost, but got one anyway.  I don’t think the GameCocks can win, but I bet they can keep it interesting.
Take South Carolina and the 10 for $25
Colorado @ Nebraska (-4 O/U: 64):  Nebraska hasn’t played a game yet and Colorado didn’t look good last week.  I think Scotty can have these boys pretty pumped up in this throwback Thanksgiving Friday Rivalry…
Take Nebraska and lay the 4 for $30
Take the UNDER for $25
LNU @ Arizona State (+5.5):  Sparty, you looked BAD last Friday, but you held onto that tradition.  Normally, the following week LNU comes out and plays well.  Only problem is you’re going to a stadium where the B1G has gone 0-9 the last 9 times they’ve played there.  Oh, and the temperature at game time (7:45 PM Local) will be 107 degrees.  Meaning that warm-ups will probably be 110 degrees.  Look for LNU to wilt late in this one…
Take ASU and the 5.5 for $25
Western Michigan @ Michigan (-24 O/U: 56) Hopefully, this is where I make a little back.  I want to believe with the offense getting embarrassed last week in South Bend and all the talk this week about Michgan “sucking”, the Broncos are going to be in “Big Trouble”.  Look for Michigan to lay it on heavy all game…    
Take Michigan and lay the 24 for $75
Take the OVER for $75
PARLAY!
3 Bet/Team Parlay:   6-1
TCU – Northwestern – A&M Over:   $30
Michigan – UM & WMU OVER - Pitt:  $20
TOTAL BET:  $505
Bank:  $465

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