Thursday, August 31, 2017

The FMQ Is Off and Running!

It's finally HERE!  Real games begin tonight!!!
Oh NOOOOO….I Think These Are Gonna’ Suck….



Scratch that – They Do Suck….
Michigan, USC, domers, PSU, and maybe Bama.  Those teams NEVER, EVER have to wear a one-off uniform for a game as they easily have some of the classiest uniforms ever designed and color coordinated.  The Maize and Blue is a great look is incredible and the winged helmet is the most recognizable in ALL of football – College or Pro.  I have to admit that I LIKE the Hoopsters wearing all Maize, but the football team wearing all Maize…including shoes?   I dunno’, man.  I just don’t know.  Everyone says I’m becoming a grumpy old man, but I take this as kind of a “Let’s give in the alternate uni-craze….”  Of course, I’ve never really cared for the Road Whites, either. 
But they’re here and you’re going to be watching them Saturday….
A Deeper Dive Into the B1G
Again, I was informed that maybe – MAYBE – the PSS was a little light on the B1G teams and my take as to how the B1G would end up this season.  I blew it last season (but not by much for either division) when I had Michigan and Nebraska somehow winning it all.  Nebraska lost a close game in Wiscy in OT and was then embarrassed at osu the following week, but if they beat Wiscy, I think they still would have had a shot at the top of the division.  I can’t explain the Iowa loss, either…Wiscy wasn’t on anyone’s radar and frankly, PSU was an anomaly of what’s more commonly known as “regression to the mean”. 
Meaning, for as unlucky as Michigan was in close games last season (0-3 in 2 OT games and games decided by 3 points or less), PSU was just AS lucky to beat the Suckeyes and come back from a 3 score deficit in the 2nd half of the B1G Championship to nip Wiscy….
So, what’s the West going to look like at the finish this season?
1.     Wiscy
2.    Northwestern
3.    Nebraska
4.    Minnesota
5.    Iowa
6.    Purdue
7.    Illinois
That looks about right based on everything I’ve read and seen, but the entire top 5 could get shuffled and re-stacked along the way.  In fact, the only one I really can’t make a whole hearted argument with respect to winning the West is Iowa, but they could still pull it off.  There’s just too many missing pieces right now for Ferentz…..  Wiscy has suddenly gone from being (within a season) a team that people were writing off with Chryst at the helm to the unanimous favorite to win the West (no OSU or PSU on the schedule and Michigan HOME) and maybe have a shot at whoever comes out of the East.
I did say in the PSS that Northwestern will give people fits this season and they have an incredibly favorable schedule.  If they can knock off the Cheeseheads, they could sneak into the B1G Championship game, easy. 
Two seasons ago, Nebraska looked poised to make a return to the ranks of “Programs that Matter”.  Right now, Riley might be coaching for his job if he can’t get to 9 wins.  He really needs a breakthrough season or Nebraska will go shopping for another head coach…
Fleck could also be the fly in the ointment that manages to upset his way into the title game…but we need to see a couple of games to really get a feel for what he’s going to be able to do with the current crop of gophers.
What about the East?
Well, Everyone KNOWS that I have Michigan winning the whole thing, so might as well start there.
1.    Michigan
2.    Suckeyes
3.    Maryland
4.    Sparty
5.    Penn State
6.    Indiana
7.    Rutgers
I’ve decided, for no really good reasons, that the Nittany Lion’s were incredibly fortunate in several games last season.  And while they have the potential to be as good as advertised, I just don’t think they’re going to be the team a lot of the talking heads are making them out to be.  AND they’re going to be playing with the target on their backs, which always presents a different challenge.  So the East is a 2 Team race with Michigan and the suckeyes vying for the right to be in Indy.
Osu will be good, but I am still very seriously doubting whether or not they can get by the Wolverines this season in Ann Arbor
I’m calling Maryland the Dark Horse of the East that’s going to spoil some undefeated parties.  In fact, I circled October 7th on the calendar as a potential “trap” game for Maryland.  Only they’re the trappers when they go to osu.  Osu will probably be peeking ahead to Nebraska, PSU and to a lesser extent, Iowa, and may overlook Derkins Terps.  They also get Sparty and PSU late in the season when both those teams could already be sitting on 4 and 2 losses, respectively…And Sparty stadium will be empty and PSU is at Maryland.
I’ll state right now that sparty won’t go 4-8 again, but 5 losses is very realistic and frankly, probable given the schedule and where they have to play their toughest games.  @ Michigan, @ osu and @ Northwestern….
Little known fact:  Michigan didn’t even get to play against Coach Hazell while he was at Purdue.  The last coach Michigan faced was in fact Danny Hope who was the head coach immediately following Tiller
So that’s not a good thing.  Something has to happen so that there’s no more than 4 years between cross over games.  Go to 9 game conference schedules and figure out how to get a home and home with all the crossovers within 4 years of each other….When was the last time Nebraska was in town???
This is Cool…
And I’ve maybe seen the website before, but it is interesting to go through and put some different teams into the search.  In short:
Michigan (with the most wins and highest winning percentage in all of CF) has a winning record over every conference in existence.  I didn’t go through by team, but there’s a couple of teams that have an edge on Michigan that will be impossible to fix as they don’t exist or Michigan would never consider scheduling them again…
The link to the site:
Irish Eyes Are Crying….
I don’t get over to NDNation and the Message Board “Rock’s House” as often as I’d like to, because I do enjoy schandenfreude (Websters: pleasure derived by someone from another person’s misery or misfortune),  but I did get over there just recently.  The fan apathy and angst has to be at a new low/high.  Apparently you can now:
1.     Pay to “walk with the players” from the grotto to the stadium.  This was free for decades and now costs $10.
2.    Pay $20 to touch the PLACT sign coming out of the locker room.  (Play Like a Champion Today!)

3.    Pay more for season tickets than ANY OTHER TEAM IN THE NCAA!  The domer game against Wake Forest is going to cost a domer fan $130.  Clemson vs WF at Clemson is only $60….Other base ticket prices for the cheap seats are as high as $150/game
4.    If you’d like to have a nice polo shirt from the officially recognized ND supplier, it’ll cost you over $100
I could go on, but I hope you’re getting the picture.  The fan base is fast approaching where Michigan fans were in late 2014.  Apathy was thick and fans were simply pissed.  They were pissed at the AD for trying to make a buck on every aspect of the game and using every angle.  And they were pissed with the product on the field
Methinks the domers might be turning a page in the book this season, regardless of the record.  That kind of emotional combination is a bad brew and something has to give…But I oh so enjoy watching the domers and their fans roam the destitute wasteland in utter despair!!!
THE FMQ
Quick refresher – we start with a cool $1,000 clams and try to double up over the course of a season.  Betting Spreads, over unders, and a parlay or two.  Trying a different format this season with respect to reporting wins and losses….
Buffalo @ The Golden Gophers (-24.5  O/U:  50):  Fleck the Mighty Rower gets rolling early on a Thursday night kick-off before the big Labor Day Weekend Smorgasbord of games.   I like the Gophers in a rout in this game as Buffalo hasn’t fielded anything close to a decent team in years.  The Over is a hard bet and I’ll lay off that one…
Take the Gophers and lay the 24.5 for $30
Ohio State @ Indiana (+20.5  O/U:  58):  It’s hard to get a read on this game.  Wilson will be returning for the first time to the place where he was a pretty successful coach.  The sukeyes notoriously start out the season a little slow, and I’m not expecting a difference this season.  However, if Wilson has been given the reins to open up the offense, well, it might not bode well for the Hoosiers if Kevin is seeing this as revenge…But the Moneyline here is so intriguing…Indiana wins and the bettor would receive $1,285 on a $100 bet!!!  Still, can’t do 12:1
Take the Suckeyes and lay the 20.5 for $40
Maryland @ Texas (-18):  This spread surprises me a little.  Maryland isn’t a pushover and Texas has a new coach, albeit with a whole lot of returning starters.  Granted they weren’t that good last year.  I have a feeling that Maryland might be able to keep this game closer than 18 points.  And here’s another interesting tidbit:  the moneyline for the Texas:  -$1,100.  For Maryland:   $775.  I gotta put a little scratch on that!
Take the Terps and the 18 points for $30
Take the MONEYLINE for the Terps for $30
Temple @ the Domers (-17.5):  The teasers are always fun, aren’t they?  Temple played the domers close a couple of years ago losing by less than a TD and more or less getting now Baylor Coach Matt Ruhle several job interviews.  There still may be some holdovers from that game on Temple’s roster and they are convincing everyone else that the domers are beatable.  I’ll take a fired up road team and the fact that Kelly might not have everything on his offense figured out yet.
Take Temple and the 17.5 for $30
FSU vs. Alabama (-7):  I would have thought this was more of a 3-point game, but Vegas is smarter than me.  FSU played Clemson close last year and you can bet they were watching the National Championship game thinking, “We almost beat the team that beat Bama to win the National Title!”  I think FSU has been looking forward to this game for a LONG TIME.  Jimbo Fisher may unleash the dogs early and if Bama stumbles early…Chaos!
Take FSU and the 7 for $30
Florida vs. Michigan (-3.5):  This line has moved around a little and with the 7 suspensions at Florida due to ATM CardGate, McElwain has had some time to re-group and figure out what he’s going to do on the offensive line.  But I don’t think it’ll be enough and I think Michigan goes into Dallas in the Maize Unis and gives the SEC a lesson in “B1G Football…”
Take Michigan and lay the 3.5 for $40
PARLAY!
3 Team Parlay:   6-1

Michigan – FSU – OSU:   $20

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