Hawkins/Charboneau Project 2
B1G Teams at 15-1
Through 16 B1G Games. Those 2 teams collide in Ann
Arbor on February 24th in what will more than likely be an epic
game.
That Michigan will really need to win that
contest to have any hopes of clinching a B1G Title for the regular
season kind of goes without saying. Which games does Matt have Michigan and The
LNU losing? Charboneau predicts LNU
goes down first to Nebraska (Torvik Prediction:
76-75 LNU Wins). Nebraska’s
REALLY HOT right now and shooting the lights out. I expect that to be a pretty good game as well. According to Hawkins, Michigan escapes this weekend up
in Madison but falters in a couple of weeks at Assembly Hall in
Bloomington. And I can’t say I disagree
with either prediction.
What he leaves out is who
wins at Crisler! The LNU has
been playing very well offensively, but still has turnover problems. IF that isn’t fixed by the time they go to
Ann Arbor, I like the Wolverines chances. And that’s not a biased opinion. It’s an observation of fact. And should Michigan win in Crisler, in two
weeks, it’ll be a pressure filled revenge game in East Lansing for a possible
B1G Title outright! Michigan has LNU’s
number right now and the LNU knows it.
Should be a fun February and
March…
Beilein On The Sidelines
From Mgoblog.com:
Beilein on the sideline. Illinois puts the media right behind the coaches,
which I wish Michigan still did. This is probably not a good idea when you have
a ragebot like Izzo or Huggins, but I think you can deal with the fallout from
listening to Beilein mid-game. Brendan Quinn did for the Athletic and came back with an excellent story:
6:35 — Poole
again wants a 3. It’s early in the shot clock after a second-chance offensive
rebound. Michigan can eat some clock and run its offense. Instead, Poole,
standing on the wing with a defender at arm’s length, spontaneously decides to
chuck a 3, barely drawing iron. The possession comes up empty and Beilein
throws his arms in the air, pacing. “Stupid!” he yells at Poole. “JP, that’s a
stupid shot! Why?!” Poole extends one arm and hand out, replying, “Relax!”
Beilein: “No. That’s
stupid!”
Poole: “Relax!”
Beilein: “Don’t tell me
to relax!”
Poole walks down the
floor. Beilein takes a step out onto the court, still yelling. Matthews
interjects, telling Beilein he’ll dial Poole down.
“It’s cool,” Matthews
says. “I got ’em.”
Beilein, pointing at
Poole, responds to Matthews, “Tell him to get over himself and play some
defense!”
This is not "I WILL
EAT YOUR FAMILY IF YOU TAKE ANOTHER SHOT LIKE THAT," which I assume is one
of the milder things you'd overhear Izzo say during a typical game.
The Rest of the Season
How’s this for a Chart?
B1G Efficiency – All Teams
thru 16-17 games
The PREDICTIVE STATS!
Torvik still loves Michigan at
#2, especially when you slice the data. However, Virginia jumped Michigan after
Tuesday’s games. Katz
of NCAA.COM has Michigan at number 1 and ESPN has Michigan, Tennessee and
Virginia 1,2 and 3. I have to
admit, as a Stats junky, I feel like a kid on Christmas Morning
whenever I visit Torvik’s website.
There’s so much out there you can do and look at! And I really like this particular feature: Four Factor Team Trends:
You can select any stat you
want to see how your teams doing. I
happened to pick and copy Adj. Offense here as this is where Michigan sucks
in Kenpom. And yep, Michigan is on the right
track! Improving!
Play around on the site. I think you’ll have fun! From the Team Bubbles Page: As it stands: the B1G has 7-8 teams in with
IU and the Gophers on the bubble.
Kenpom still has Michigan far
below the LNU due to those crappy teams Michigan played and their
adjusted offense based on those games.
Michigan just doesn’t play up for everyone, of that I’m convinced. And I’m not sure there’s enough games in the
regular season to get them “up” in Kenpom, even if they win them all.
This is gonna be fun to track
for the rest of the season!!
Team Date Day Torvik
Prediction Result
@Wiscy 1-19 Sunday W
64-60
Gophers 1-22 Tuesday W
75-60
@ IU 1-25 Friday W
70-63
THE STU 1-29 Tuesday W
70-59
@ Iowa 2-1 Friday W
73-68
@ Rutgers 2-5 Tuesday W
69-57
Wiscy 2-9 Saturday W 67-57
@ PSU 2-12 Tuesday W 67-58
Maryland 2-16 Saturday W
73-62
@ Gophers 2-21 Thursday W 71-63
The LNU 2-24 Sunday W 72-68
Nebraska 2-28 Thursday W 71-63
@ Maryland 3-3 Sunday W 69-66
@ The LNU 3-9 Saturday L 72-68
So, I was stuck in training
and decided to look ahead using the Torvik Game Cast Predictor that predicts
the rest of the season’s games based on current stats. The ONLY GAME Torvik has Michigan losing is
the last game of the season in East Lansing. Depending on how the LNU has done and if it’s
for all the marbles, well, Michigan is ready for that kind of game. I was trying to put all this together and try
to “see” where there might be other traps that Michigan could be facing. ANY PLACE WITH A 4 point spread or less
could easily be a loss. So, there’s 4 of
those on the schedule, and one 5 pointer (wiscy) that’s iffy. Both LNU games should be close. The Maryland game before going to the LNU
will also be a trap game. It’ll be fun
to see how close Torvik is for the rest of the season.
The Mailbag
Duke goes Down! To an unranked
Syracuse team! AT HOME!!! Does Michigan move up to the 1 spot?
You know, the whole number 1
thing in College Hoops is a bit irrelevant if you ask me. I like to look at the stats (Kenpom
and Torvik) and I like to see how the team has done in their last 10
games to see if they’re getting better or worse. (Michigan has slipped in the last 10, but B1G
Schedule re-set is to be expected. We’ll
look again after there’s 10 games in the B1G complete and some additional games
in the rear window) Basketball
is a momo game and where you rank in March isn’t nearly as important as to
where you rank come the first Monday night in April. So if Michigan gets to the number 1 Spot next
Monday, I will let out a little “whoopee” and move on with life.
Dickie V is getting on my nerves this season. Should he hang it up?
Not sure which game you
watched, but I have to admit that the Duke – FSU game on Saturday really had
Dickie in rare form. He can’t stay
unbiased about Duke and that game was classic Duke with a last second 3-pointer
to win it. I have to admit that I was
getting a little annoyed with Dickie near the end of the game as well.
Engler Out…
Engler was potentially a worse
President than Lou-Anna K Simon was…
I didn’t believe it was
possible, but Engler’s bumbling of the LNU situation and the victim’s rights
and how he proclaimed earlier this week that the victims were “basking
in the spotlight of their monetary awards” and the rest of LNU was “Trying to
get back to work.” Engler, do yourself a
favor and just stop talking. You
obviously don’t get what’s happened or what is still happening when it comes to
this issue and your ignorance is showing. Maybe ignorance is the wrong word. Blunt obtuseness or disregard for feelings
is more like it. I don’t think any of the victims are “basking in the glow” of
their monetary settlements.
Juuuuust a hunch…
But the man finally did the
right thing and resigned. Long overdue…
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