WOOHOO!!!! I love it when a plan comes together!
Last week’s results:
So, it’s nice being up $200+
out of the gate! Great Feeling! So great in fact I may go a little “over” on
my betting limit cause when I’m winning, I feel like I’m “seeing” things
better! Wining begets winning and I love
riding the train!
I’m actually kind of glad
Michigan plays at noon as the bulk of this week’s “Big Games” start in the
evening. Screwy scheduling and multiple TV’s
or being at a sports bar will be required if you want to watch the Big 4:
Laters – suckeyes, Auburn – Clemson, Stanford –
USC and domers – Dawgs!
All have a 7-7:30 – 8:30
PM Kick!
And then there’s this guy.
They
made Crystal Meth illegal for reasons, ya know???
And Urban Legend calling out former
assistant Hermann for saying the “cupboard is bare” and the Texas
program is in a shambles…
On to this week’s picks:
Golden Gophers @ Oregon State (-2 O/U: 51.5):
Fleck rows the yacht to the West Coast for a late night
(10:00PM Kick PST) game that shouldn’t mess with the Gophers body clocks too
much. I didn’t understand this spread
when I saw it. I figured the Gophers
would be LAYING points in this game and they’re getting 2? OSU’s program is a disaster and they lost to
C-State by a LOT. They screwed me last
week, but I’m sticking with the Gophers.
Take the Gophers and the 2 for $30
Iowa @ Iowa State (+2.5 O/U:
48): This was another spread
I looked at and thought should have been higher, but this is a big rivalry game
in the state of Iowa. Iowa impressed me
on defense against Wyoming and I’ll ride the momentum train with the Hawkeyes…
Take the Iowa and lay the 2.5 for $30
Pitt @ PSU (-22
O/U: 67): This spread surprises me a little. The O/U surprised me A LOT. First,
Pitt
beat PSU last season. So, yeah,
revenge. Second, I don’t think PSU is as
good as everyone claims they are. Akron
was no test. Third, last I
checked, Narduzzi is still Pitt’s coach and knows a thing or two about
getting his team up for a rivalry game.
PSU is playing with a target on their back this year. Watch out!
Take Pitt and the 22 points for $50
WMU @ MSU (-7 O/U: 51): Sparty sucks in these games. In Sparty’s last 12 games as a
single digit favorite, they’ve failed to cover 9 times and have out right lost
6. Western is a team that knows how to
win and they’re not afraid of anyone.
They gave the #4 team in the country USC all that they could
handle. I’m betting 1st year
coach Lester is thinking it’d be really nice to have another B1G Pelt
to hang on the wall at Western. And I’ll
bet they keep it within the spread…
Take WMU and the 7 for $30
Nebraska @ Oregon (-14 O/U:
69.5): Hmmmm. Spread seems high as neither team really
played anyone the first week and Oregon rolled while Nebraska had first game
problems. Last year was a close
game. Going to Autzen is tough and the
Ducks rarely lose there, well, with the exception of last season. I want to say the Quack Attack is back, but
I’m nervous laying 14 against what could be an improved Husker squad
with a game under their belt.
Take Nebraska and the 14 for $25
Stanford @ USC (-7
O/U: 56): The over in this game is intriguing to
me. USC’s defense just gave up 30+ points to
Western Michigan. Granted,
Western’s pretty good, but Stanford is a WHOLE LOT BETTER. They rolled up 70 points on Rice in Australia.
Plus, Stanford has had an extra week to
prep for USC. I’ll play the over, and I like the
Cardinal.
Take Stanford and the 7 for $30
Take the OVER for $30
Georgia @ Domers (-4.5 O/U:
56.5): I’ll be honest, I’ve
flip-flopped on this game a couple of times.
This is kind of a weird line. I
guess Vegas is thinking that it’s coming down to a field goal one way or the
other. I thought the Domers looked
impressive on both sides of the ball on Saturday. New coordinators paying off? Georgia is starting their back-up QB (who some
insiders believe is a better overall QB than the starter) on the road where it
SHOULD be a pretty good night crowd. Can
I trust the Domers to live up to the task?
Nope. I’ll actually call
this game the “Kirby Smart first big road win” game…
Take the Dawgs and the 4.5 for $25
Auburn @ Clemson (-4.5 O/U:
53.5): Line is about where I’d
have it based on what we saw last season between these two teams and the first
games out of the gate more or less convinced me that Clemson is ready to defend
and Auburn wants to be meaningful again.
Both defenses are the strengths of this team. Weather from Irma shouldn’t be a factor.
Take Clemson at HOME at NIGHT In DEATH VALLEY and lay the 4.5
for $30
Oklahoma @ suckeyes (-6.5 O/U:
64.5): This is the 2nd
game I’ve flip-flopped and flip-flopped like a friggin’ flounder on several
times... And I really tried to
keep the emotions out of it. You know,
cause I hate the Laters so much…Last season was an emotional bet
thinking Sooners at home, highly motivated would win a pick-em game and the
suckeyes demolished them…However, Baker Mayfield claims he came back to
accomplish some tasks. Revenge for last season’s
spanking at HOME would be a great way to begin up in Columbus. The
suckeyes did look absolutely abominable in the 1st half of the
Indiana Game. Still, 2nd game
at home in your typical Hostile Horseshoe isn’t an easy place to win. And I
think the suckeyes defense might be better than last season… Dammit….
Take the suckeyes and lay the 6.5 for $25
Cincinnati @ Michigan (-34 O/U:
48): At first glance, this
spread might scare you. I, OTOH,
was actually licking my chops…Do you know how many games Austin
Peay has won in the last 3 seasons? ONE. Know how many they’ve won in the last 2
seasons? ZERO. The closest AP has
come to winning a game in 2 years was last Saturday at Cinci, who went 4-8 last season
in the AAC. Cinci is not a great team.
Former suckeye interim coach Luke
Fickell has taken over the reins at what used to be a pretty good program. It’s not anymore. Tuberville let it tank in the 4 seasons he was
there. My thought process on this game
Saturday is going something like this: Michigan’s
offense will be effective, and by that I mean that they’ll probably easily score
21-28 points (Bearcats gave up 27/game last season). The unknowns are Michigan’s Defense –
Take Michigan and lay the 34 for $75
Take the OVER 48 for $75
PARLAY!
3 Bet/Team Parlay: 6-1
Michigan – Michigan OVER– USC/Stanford OVER: $30
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