Thursday, January 25, 2018

Rutgers, Hockey and the Dynasties

Rutgers Isn’t Good, But…
I know this post is VERY late and the Rutgers game seems like a month ago.  And don’t forget tonight is The Spoilers at 7:00!!!
And you’re really going to hate me because its LONG.
Rutgers is one of those teams that’s stocked on defense but can’t really score when they’re on offense.  Meaning that they’ve got a chance win any game on their schedule assuming the other team has an off-shooting day
Just like Iowa did a week ago Wednesday.  Iowa came out shooting miserably and didn’t get any better as the game went on.  Rutgers was able to parlay that mess that is Iowa’s offense into a W.  They might get a chance to do that a couple more times. 
Michigan came out cold, falling to a 10-2 deficit, but then finally got a little hot on the shooting end and got a 5-point lead that it never relinquished.  Rutgers had little in the way of being able to pull a Nebraska and stop Michigan, leaving Robinson and Wagner repeatedly open for 3-point looks.  Rutgers needs better scouting and coaching application when a team shows how to defend the Beilein offense.  
Games  – Dates – Time – Result - Record
Illinois(H)                  January 6th               Noon                          WON  79-69              14-3
Purdue (H)                January 9th               9:00 PM                     Lost    70-69              14-4
Sparty (A)                   January 13th              Noon                          WON  82-72              15-4
Maryland (H)            January 15th            6:30 PM                     WON 68-67               16-4
Nebraska (A)             January 18th              8:00 PM                     LOST 72-52              16-5
Rutgers (H)              January 21st             Noon                          WON  62-47              17-5
Purdue (A)                 January 25th              7:00 PM
Northwestern (H)    January 29th             7:00 PM
Minnesota (H)          February 3rd             2:30 PM
Northwestern (A)      February 6th              6:00PM
Wiscy (A)                   February 11th            Noon
Iowa   (H)                   February 14th           6:30 PM
Suckeyes (H)           February 18th           1:00 PM
PSU (A)                      February 21st            7:00 PM
Maryland (A)             February 24th            Noon
Purdue at West Lafayette will be a test, but Michigan get’s one of its rare 4 days off before the game tonight.  Hopefully, fresh legs and motivation to get a shot at revenge against the Boilers should make for a great game.  After perusing the rest of the schedule, I’m looking at a Michigan team that should finish with 6 more W’s with 2 L’s sprinkled in there somewhere, because, Basketball.  Still, with 23 wins, most of the wise guys and Tourney Trackers have Michigan somewhere between a 7-10 seed.   I guarantee you that whoever the 1 or 2-seed is that has to play Michigan is going to be pissed…Lunardi has Michigan at 8 this week.  And I know he looks at the BPI and that has Michigan ranked 25th, meaning that they are the first 8-Seed in.  A win Thursday isn’t going to push them up to a 6 or a 5-Seed at this point.  A season sweep could possibly get them up to the 6 range, but wouldn’t bet on it…
Looking at the B1G Standings gives me one more reason to bitch about scheduling:

So, the top 4 teams in the conference won’t all play each other round robin, and what’s worse is Michigan has the “Man’s Share” of the big boys: 
Michigan plays Purdue and OSU twice, Sparty only once
Sparty already lost to the Suckeyes in their only meeting this season
Purdue and Sparty only play once
Purdue and the Suckeyes only play once
Translated: 
Michigan has 5 games against the top 4 in the conference
Purdue and the suckeyes have 4 games against the top 4 in the conference
Sparty has 3 games in the top 4 of the conference
I hate the B1G and Jim Delaney.  There needs to be a way to not have one game seasons and if it means not scheduling as many teams (or not scheduling someone at all – Rutgers) then so be it.  But the home and home in hoops should be respected.
Unfortunately, it would appear that either the suckeyes or Purdue will win the conference at this point as there’s too many things that have to happen for anyone else to have a shot, especially Michigan as the loss at Nebraska is looming large and the referee debacle at home against the Boiler’s hurts too.  And yes, the 19-point comeback by the suckeyes…All games Michigan could have won.  Well, maybe not Nebraska as the team just looked tired.  And with the middle weakness of the B1G this year (Minnesota had their shot at the suckeyes at home and failed miserably) is only going to make any late season run almost impossible. 
Almost.  I always like to give myself wiggle room in case a collapse comes.  But the suckeyes have looked very impressive and Michigan will be lucky to beat them at home.  But that should be a great game. 
Hockey Sweep!!!
Michigan’s Icers swept the PSU kitty kats over the weekend.  Michigan hasn’t faired well against the Purple Kitties since they put on a team on the ice in B1G competition in the 2013-14 season.  It seemed no matter how good Michigan was, the Purple Kitty’s found a way to win. 


Till now.  Karma’s a bitch.  While Michigan may not have knocked PSU out of the Frozen 4, Michigan might – MIGHT – have solidified their chances of making it into the tourney as an at large.  Time will tell, but I’m cautiously optimistic at this point.  B1G Hockey Standings:
The Dynasties
I’m linking a post I did last year on the GOAT’s in each respective sport trying to compare who was the better athlete in their sport.  This kind of goes hand in hand with that post in case you want to review it.  (If you don’t want to read it, I’ll save you the time with Brady coming out on top of my objective analysis when looking at League size, Years Played, Teams in League, Total Chances at Championships, Total Championships, and ratios of years /total chances and Championships/total Chances)
So, everyone who loves the NFL but hates TB12 and the Patriots has two weeks to loathe the up-coming Super Bowl and listen to all the tripe that goes along with it.  If you’re exclusively an NFL fan, you now understand what the College Football world calls “Bama Fatigue”
If you like Bama, no problem. Same with the Patriots and Brady.  If you hate ‘em…Well, there’s alcohol. 
In what I think is the more interesting conversation is the relevancy of the Dynasty that the Patriots have built.  I’ve been listening to some of the sports talk shows and they’ve been trying to compare Dynasties of Football, Basketball, Hockey and Baseball to figure out if there’s one great dynasty that’s been better than the rest.  Obviously, the Patriots are part of the discussion.  But can an argument be made for any of the other Dynasties in any of the Big 4 sports that can compare to what the Patriots have accomplished?
As always, the MMQ is here to objectively lay out the facts to help us decide (and argue) why anyone dynasty should be considered superior to another dynasty.  Some objective criteria:
Longevity of the Players in Any Given Sport:  There needs to be an objective weighting that considers the number of players you need on a team to be competitive in the sport you’re playing, the average career length and the ability to retain the talent or replace your talent as your dynasty moves through time.  So with that being said, let’s look at the necessary roster requirements and average career length (average career lengths taken from official pro sites):
MLB  - Baseball 
Roster Size:  25 Players Active – 40 Players total
Average Career Length:  5.6 years
NHL - Hockey
Roster Size:  23 Players
Average Career Length:  5 Years
NFL - Football
Roster Size:  53 Players
Average Career Length:  3.3 Years!!!!
NBA - Basketball
Roster Size:  14 Players
Average Career Length:   4.8 Years
Now, how do we rank the roster/career length?  I believe that a ratio should exist that looks at Roster Size/Career Length.  Meaning:  The larger the Roster Size when compared to the Career Length tells you how many potential players you’re going to go through during the length of any dynasty.   Meaning:  The toughest sport to maintain a dynasty would appear to be the NFL with the Roster Size and the Career Length!   I will put that in my table once we’ve weeded through which dynasties from each sport we should look at. 
But, before that, I think it’s important to rank the difficulty of winning any given championship in any one sport. This is my own personal opinion, but I could be swayed on any of this. 
Weighting the Championship Trophies – While it could be argued that winning any Championship in any sport is an equally difficult task, I believe that ONCE YOU HAVE A DYNASTY IN PLACE (meaning – the right team), it’s easier in certain sports to win a Championship than it is in other sports.  I’ll get into that in detail below.
Difficulty of Winning a Championship: From Most Difficult to Easiest:
World Series – Commissioner’s Trophy. 
Weighting:  MOST DIFFICULT (100% weighting for all objective criteria)
Reasons:  Season length, player health, having 4-5 SOLID starters or middle Relievers and a Closing Ace are all critical, not to mention having a solid 6 or 7 batters from either side of the plate.  Plus, even though Baseball and numbers usually bear themselves out over the entire season, Play-offs are a different story and the Wild Card has made that even weirder.  So, you could have a great dynasty and not have a lot of World Series Rings to show for it.  I’m looking at you Atlanta Braves.   The New York Yankees and their payroll are another discussion.
Hockey - Stanley Cup.
WEIGHTING:   2nd Most Difficult.  (95% weighting for all objective criteria)
Reasons:  A lot of what I stated above, but you also need a really good goalie and back-up goalie.  Plus, Hockey is a weird and unpredictable sport come play-off time.  Teams that have looked great all season can slump. I didn’t like when Hockey went to 4 divisions and 8-seeds in the Stanely Cup8-seeds have won the Stanley Cup and favorites sometimes get knocked out in the 1st round.  An argument could be made that this is the hardest trophy to win, but you would need to explain or counter argue my baseball comments above. 
NFL - Lombardi Trophy
WEIGHTING:  3rd Most Difficult (90%)
Reasons:  You have to have a great regular season and hopefully get home field advantage, but that’s been worth less over the years.  You have to keep players healthy but once you make the play-offs, usually the better team win’s.  And you only have to win 3 or 4 games once you make the play-offs to win the Lombardi.  Some will argue that’s a lot tougher to do, but I’m not sure.  I think this could be argued either way and I could be swayed to move this up and place it right after Baseball and value it at 95%.  I need to think about it some more, but right now I’ll say it’s the 3rd toughest.
Larry Obrien NBA Championship Trophy:    Easiest (85%)
Reasons:  Once you have the right team of only 5-7 guys, you’re going to be hard to beat.  I think there’s only maybe 2-3 teams at the beginning of any one NBA season that have a legitimate shot at the NBA Title.  And those teams have the names James or Curry on their roster with a lot of supporting characters.  In the past it was Jordan, Johnson, Thomas, Dumars, Bird, McHale, etc…
The nature of the NBA, 7 game play-off rounds, long time between games makes it easier for the better teams to take care of business.  I don’t think I can be swayed to move this one up at all. 
I wanted to consider how Coaching and GM fits into all of this, but that was starting to get into some esoteric and hard to nail down criteria.  Yes, most of the dynasties were overseen by one coach, so that matters.  I just didn’t know how to relate the coaches from sport to sport and,  more importantly, what to measure.  If I come up with anything, I’ll add later.
So, now that the criteria has been established that will measure our dynasties on, which dynasties for each sport should be considered?
NFL
Patriots from 2001 through 2018.  I can only think of two other dynasties in the NFL and they were San Fran from 1981 thru 1994 and the 1970’s Steelers.  The 49er’s won 5 Super Bowls and appeared in another Super Bowl in 2014 (Harbaugh Bowl) but lost that appearance and is too far away from the CORE Walsh DynastyWhile it’s debatable that the 49er’s could be included, The Pats have done it for 3 additional years (under same Coach and QB) and have a total of 8 Super Bowl Appearances.  
Baseball
The Atlanta Braves managed to have a dynasty in modern history that I don’t think can ever be matched.  The Braves won the NL West/East Division Title EVERY YEAR (with the exception of 1994 – players strike) from 1991 thru 2005 – that’s 14 years of winning their division.  They also appeared 5 times in the World Series.  In addition, they won the World Series only ONE TIME in 1995.   Also considered:  New York Yankees from 1996 – 2003 that won 6 AL Pennants and 4 World Series Titles (1996 – 1998 – 1999 – 2000).  Howeva’, my utter disdain for the Yankees and Baseball’s somewhat unfair pay-roll set-up prevents me from putting the Yankees into my analysis - maybe.  In other words:  They piss me off.
Hockey
The Edmonton Oilers played 6 times and won Lord Stanley’s Cup 5 times from 1983 thru 1990, which I consider recent Hockey History.  I know there are other teams when the league was smaller that did great things (Red Wings and the Canadiens in the 50’s) but I can’t include them, as much as I’d like to.  Edmonton’s accomplishment is probably the most impressive run by a modern Hockey Team. 
NBA
I would love to be able to argue AGAINST the Chicago Bulls and their 6 appearances and 6 NBA Titles that they claimed from 1991 through 1998, but I can’t.  That has to be the best stretch of NBA basketball played in the modern game, but I would have liked to see that team against better competition (1980’s Lakers/Celtics) and IF the Pistons could have held it together a little longer, there might have been one less Bulls title.  Never the less, I’m going to use the Bulls
Okay – Now to put all of that crap into some sort of objective table that makes sense:
I think the best way to do it is two-fold
1.     Analysis of the Roster Size to Career Length – Player Turnover Ratio
2.     Then analyze the number of Division Championships, Championships Played for, Championships Won and correct raw score of that analysis with the Championship Difficulty Ratio
Here we go (Click to Enlarge):



SUMMARY:  I’m concluding that what the Patriots have done for the last 18 years (and will ultimately seal with a win next Sunday) probably won’t be matched ever again in any professional sport using the criteria I’m using.  All the dynasties are impressive, and frankly, I was a little disappointed that it would appear that the Yankees, Oilers and Bulls came out better with shorter dynasties than the Braves, but they deservedly won more titles.
Finally, the Dynasties Ranked in Order:
The Patriots
The Yankees (Tie)
Edmonton Oilers (Tie)
The Chicago Bulls
The Atlanta Braves
Anyway, now you’re armed with objective data for the “Bar Arguments” next week!
ETC.
The Vikings Threw One Hell Of A Party On Lake Minnetonka In 2005
Joel Furgeson Should Be The First Trustee Forced Out After Lou Anna Simon Is Out
I can’t believe the stuff that comes out of people’s mouths.  In a radio interview, Furgeson, the head Tool on the MSU Board of Trustees, stated that the board spent about “10 minutes” on the Nassar issue, implying it was hardly worth their time.  Furgeson, on top of proving himself repeatedly of being a tone deaf jerk, is the atypical, “Hey, it wasn’t her fault!” when there’s plenty of evidence suggesting she wasn’t doing nearly enough to figure out what the hell was going on.  
Finally, The Snowball Affect Seems To Be Happening For MSU
In what is probably a reaction to Idiot Furgeson’s Comments, The NCAA is launching an investigation into MSU’s handling of the Nassar case.  About time?  I guess.  Expect a resolution from the NCAA in 2024-25 timeframe, long after everyone associated with the case has retired and is beyond NCAA punishment. 
http://www.detroitnews.com/story/news/local/michigan/2018/01/23/joel-ferguson-larry-nassar/109738386/
Lynn Henning NAILS The Lack Of “Spartan Will” In Nassar Case
Lynn Henning states what everyone else (besides the Board of Trustees and President Simon) is thinking should have happened or at least have been discussed. 
Michigan House Adopts Resolution Asking Simon To Step Down
Michgan house votes 96-11 in passing the resolution asking Simon to step down.  If goes even further in stating that the Board of Trustees needs to dismiss her if she doesn’t leave voluntarily. 
“We have lost confidence in the ability of President Lou Anna K. Simon to lead a transparent investigation, to implement changes that will ensure it never happens again, to protect students, and to lead Michigan State University forward,” the resolution said.
SIMON RESIGNS – Well, That Escalated Quickly
Attempting to keep up with the news coming out of East Lansing isn’t easy right now.  But after the 96-11 house vote, Simon saw the writing on the wall, but her letter shows here complete lack of understanding of the situation, lack of leadership, and it simply reeks of “Look at me, the poor, poor martyr that has to pay the price for this monster.  She would have been better off just announcing her resignation without the letter….Sad. 
As tragedies are politicized, blame is inevitable. As president, it is only natural that I am the focus of this anger. I understand, and that is why I have limited my personal statements. Throughout my career, I have worked very hard to put Team MSU first.
hroughout my career, I have consistently and persistently spoken and worked on behalf of Team MSU. I have tried to make it not about me. I urge those who have supported my work to understand that I cannot make it about me now. Therefore, I am tendering my resignation as president according to the terms of my employment agreement.
Wojo’s Take – Even Though Simon Gone, MSU Woes Just Starting
Yep – MSU isn’t out of the woods yet.  Dare I say, they haven’t even hit the darkest part of the forest.  It’s going to get real for a lot of people fast.
http://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/columnists/bob-wojnowski/2018/01/24/wojo-simon-msus-woes-just-starting/109790162/

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